Hedge fund executive Cliff Asness says artificial intelligence is becoming “annoyingly better” at doing parts of his job.
Historical trends are being permanently broken in real time as mega forces, like the rise of artificial intelligence (AI), transform economies.
How to unlock value in a complex market landscape.
Over the past few years, I’ve written numerous articles and given numerous presentations on Direct Indexing.
With year-end looming, consider taking action now to determine if annual gifts make sense. Our Bill Cass shares useful strategies to consider for estate planning.
The bond market is caught between the Federal Reserve's plans to cut interest rates and the risk of higher inflation and federal debt levels.
The explosive growth of the ETF industry has attracted a full range of new entrants this year — from smaller individuals to the largest hedge funds in the world. More and more fund managers are making their foray into the world of ETFs.
Will the Fed make one more rate cut to end 2024? One more cut would top off what has been a very positive fall for rate cut hopefuls considering how long the Fed waited.
When the ECB’s rate-cutting cycle ends, should the neutral rate be far higher than pre-pandemic? Not in our view.
The BEA's core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for October showed that core inflation continues to be above the Federal Reserve's 2% long-term target at 2.3%. The October core Consumer Price Index (CPI) release was higher, at 3.3%. The Fed is on record as using core PCE data as its primary inflation gauge.
The S&P 500 real monthly averages of daily closes reached a new all-time high in July 2024. Let's examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of historical bull and bear market trends in market performance.
Here's an interesting set of charts that will especially resonate with those of us who follow economic and market cycles. Imagine that five years ago you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500. How much would it be worth today, with dividends reinvested but adjusted for inflation? The purchasing power of your investment has increased to $17,236 for an annualized real return of 10.94%.
Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. On August 4, 2020, the 10-year Treasury yield hit its all-time low of 0.52%. As of November 29, it was 4.18%.
With the Q3 GDP second estimate and the November close data, we now have an updated look at the popular "Buffett Indicator" -- the ratio of corporate equities to GDP. The current reading is 194.7%, unchanged from the previous quarter.
Here is a summary of the four market valuation indicators we update on a monthly basis.
Based on the November S&P 500 average of daily closes, the Crestmont P/E of 41.3 is 173% above its arithmetic mean, 198% above its geometric mean, and is at the 100th percentile of this 14-plus-decade series.
Here is the latest update of a popular market valuation method, Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, using the most recent Standard & Poor's "as reported" earnings and earnings estimates, and the index monthly average of daily closes for the past month. The latest trailing twelve months (TTM) P/E ratio is 26.6 and the latest P/E10 ratio is 37.3.
The latest job openings and labor turnover summary (JOLTS) report showed that job openings increased in October, reflecting more hiring. Vacancies increased to 7.744 million in October from September's downwardly revised level of 7.372 million. The latest reading was more than the expected 7.510 million vacancies.
The Q Ratio is the total price of the market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. The latest Q-ratio is at 1.81, unchanged from 1.81 in October.
Bitcoin's closing price climbed toward the $100,000 level this past week. BTC is currently up ~117% year-to-date. Here are the latest charts on three of the largest cryptocurrencies by market share through 12/03/24.
Quick take: At the end of November, the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 index price was 183% above its long-term trend, up from October.
About the only certainty in the stock market is that, over the long haul, over-performance turns into underperformance and vice versa. Is there a pattern to this movement? Let's apply some simple regression analysis to the question.
Join the experts at State Street Global Advisors, Potomac, and Stringer Asset Management for an overview of the 2025 outlook and set yourself up for success in the new year.
President-elect Donald Trump’s pick of a crypto proponent to be the next head of the US securities regulator lifted Bitcoin to $100,000 for the first time as traders warmed to the prospect of relaxed regulations.
To sate his multibillion dollar rampant appetite for Bitcoin, Michael Saylor has tapped demand from retail investors transfixed by MicroStrategy Inc.’s more than 500% rally this year. He’s also benefited from hedge funds who care far less where the stock trades.
Quite a few observers have described the dramatic fall of the Barnier government in France not just as a political crisis but also an economic and financial crisis.
Since its enactment in 2022, the Chips and Science Act — a $280 billion splurge intended to revive US semiconductor manufacturing — has been at best a mixed success. A $7.9 billion grant to Intel Corp., announced by President Joe Biden’s administration last week, shows how this gravy train may be headed off the rails.
Emerging-market currencies held gains after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said policymakers could move cautiously as they lower interest rates. The South Korean won rebounded on Wednesday as President Yoon Suk Yeol rapidly reversed his martial law declaration.
While the economy helped President Trump win a second term, it also created expectations that could prove difficult to meet.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell downplayed the prospects of tension with the incoming Trump administration and said he expects officials can move cautiously as they continue lowering interest rates.
We are all familiar with this SEC-required warning that “past performance does not predict future performance.”
Dan Suzuki analyzes current and historical trends in investors' stock, bond, and cash holdings to assess whether this "cash on the sidelines" narrative could be a valid catalyst for pushing the stock market to new highs.
Assets in money market funds reached an all-time high of $7 trillion this past month. Now that rates are moving lower, money market yields may not be as attractive to many investors and assets may gradually leave money funds.
A couple of weeks ago, we wrote about how the deficit had come back into focus for the U.S. financial markets.
At the 2018 Berkshire Annual Meeting, Buffett noted that “multiple times in my life, people have felt the country was more divided than ever.
Business owners have unique needs; among them are answering the question of how to preserve wealth and successfully transition their businesses.
Join the experts at Clark Capital Management Group as they explore how advisors can help business owners navigate liquidity events, plan for succession, and plan for the next big change. Drawing on experience from hundreds of business owner clients and the expertise of Clark Capital’s Client Portfolio Management Team, this free educational webcast is a can’t-miss event for advisors seeking to better serve their clients.
Understanding how money impacts human behavior and psychology may help serve your clients effectively.
In this article, Beverly Flaxington gives advice on how to navigate organizing events for staff and clients.
By understanding annuities, debunking myths, and staying on top of tax implications, you can offer your clients the financial stability they crave. Regular reviews, proactive communication, and continuous education are the keys to success.
China’s major technology stocks have been left behind in this year’s global frenzy over artificial intelligence, and a lack of demand for actual AI usage coupled with geopolitical pressures make it unlikely they can cash in anytime soon.
The $1.8 trillion federal budget deficit in the fiscal year that ended in September was the third biggest ever in dollar terms, trailing only the pandemic deficits of the 2020 and 2021 fiscal years. As a share of gross domestic product, a better gauge for historical comparisons, it was, at 6.4%, the biggest ever outside of a large war or global crisis.
Next week’s European Central Bank meeting is more important than it might first appear.
The trend is your friend. Or, in Larry Fink’s case, your primary acquisition tickbox.
Donald Trump’s tariff barrage may trigger a response from the Federal Reserve that the new president won’t like.
Bond traders are positioning for the US Treasuries market to extend its recent advance, showing confidence that yields will continue to pull back from the peaks hit after Donald Trump’s election victory.
We launched QuantStreet a little over three years ago, and our first accounts went live as of December 2021.
The S&P 500 earnings growth rate will likely come in just below the 6% mark for the third quarter.
In their 2025 outlook, Head of Americas Equities Marc Pinto and Head of EMEA and Asia Pacific Equities Lucas Klein say a changing macroeconomic backdrop could create new pockets of leadership in global equity markets.
Our research suggests that healthcare firms with sound pay practices may yield healthier returns.
We compare investor risk-taking behaviors at the start of the bull market with those nearly 16 years later. We also analyze key market areas that can offer essential diversification to help manage overall portfolio risk.
While politics garner headlines, fundamentals drive the market over the long term.
