The economics teams looks back at the most significant stories we covered during 2023.
American consumers are becoming more frugal this holiday season.
Food prices illustrate several challenges of containing inflation.
The potency of monetary policy will weigh more heavily on activity in 2024.
The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for U.S. growth, employment, interest rates and inflation.
Companies are rethinking office space.
The banking system has stabilized, but latent threats remain.
Forecasting economic outcomes is a challenging exercise, even under steady conditions. Geopolitical events have only added to the complexity facing economies worldwide.
The longer the U.S. debt is left to grow, the harder it will be to correct.
The U.S. economy’s remarkable resilience is complicating the lives of investors and the Federal Reserve. Despite war-disrupted commodity markets and one of the most aggressive monetary tightening phases in modern history, economic activity has remained strong.
Women are still underrepresented among economics majors and in a range of professions.
New bank rules will raise borrowing costs and weigh on economic activity.
Resurgent energy prices could contribute to higher for longer monetary policy.
The strike comes at an inflection point for automotive production.
The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for major markets in the months ahead.
The FOMC will make some close calls and tough decisions.
Measuring, anticipating and controlling the cost of healthcare are all difficult.
The Fed's asset portfolio is on an uncharted course.
Holding expectations low will help the battle against high prices.
Workers are finding a fresh enthusiasm for organizing.
Geopolitics is driving new interest in industrial policy.
The nation's complex and contentious fiscal processes are deemed a credit risk.
The outlook for the British economy is sub-par.
China's re-opening surge did not last.
Japan may uniquely benefit from a wage-price spiral.
Income-driven repayment will ease the burden of resuming student loan payments.
There is renewed anxiety among central bankers in the face of sticky inflation.
Economies are struggling to shake off effects of COVID.
We review the key themes of the first half of a busy year.
The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for U.S. growth, employment, interest rates, and inflation.
In many respects, COVID-19 was not a temporary disruption.
Transit has not made a complete recovery from the pandemic.
Both domestic and external forces may limit China's growth prospects.
The Fed's tools for managing interest rates are adding to deposit competition.
The Fed is likely to lay the groundwork for a pause, and push back against an early pivot.
How will tighter lending standards become evident in the economy?
Financial volatility continues to moderate amid settling in the banking sector. Economic data in much of the world has remained positive. But a slowdown is in store. Businesses and households will have a harder time borrowing as credit conditions tighten further. Financial risks have risen.
Technology enhancements have increased the speed of panic.
The case for a central bank digital currency has many shortcomings.
If I did not have bad luck, I would have no luck at all.
The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for growth, inflation, employment, and interest rates.
The full story of SVB is still unfolding, but we offer some initial reactions.