Riverfront Investment Group

‘Stagflation Frustration’ in the Age of Tariffs

The tariff chaos continues … but the economy remains intact. For now.
Bond Market Not Signaling Recession

The stock market sell-off appears to be signaling a recession. However, we believe the bond market disagrees.
Tactical Rules Turn More Bullish

Since our last update of our ‘Three Tactical Rules’ on February 4, equity markets have been under pressure as the S&P 500 has retraced more than 23% of the rally that started October 2023.
Data Determination vs. Headline ‘Hell’: Making Sense of the US Market’s Crosscurrents

Recent US stock weakness may be related to a downturn in US economic data and headline shocks related to tariffs.
Q4 Earnings Recap: US Large-Cap Earnings Justify Their Current Valuation

We view quarterly earnings season as a critical checkup on how markets are handling current challenges.
American 'Economic Exceptionalism' Isn't Dead: How the US Is 'Built Different'

The U.S. economy remains structurally productive. American Economic Exceptionalism is powered by innovation and labor flexibility.
Of Stocks and Bonds

Long maturity treasuries can provide downside protection to offset equity risk, in our view.
Tactical Rules Turn Bullish

Since our last update of our ‘Three Tactical Rules’ on November 26, 2024, equity markets are up slightly.
Not Time Yet for Stocks to Worry About Rising Rates

For stocks, Christmas came with a 'Santa Clause' rally soon after the election. Since then, there's been a correction in US markets.
Q4 Recap: US Growth Closes the Year on Top

U.S. equities closed 2024 on top and U.S. growth took back leadership from U.S. value.
Value Investing in the US and Beyond

Riverfront's stock selection team performs analysis on individual equities that provides useful insights into how we position our portfolios.
Tactical Rules Hovering Above Neutral

The Fed could be ‘slower to lower,' while the Trend continues to rise, with an overly optimistic Crowd due to seasonality and post-election trends.
Central Bank Policy and Global Bond Yields

In Europe, the ECB stimulates a sluggish economy while in the UK, the problem is inflation. In contrast, the US responds to stronger growth.