The transition from bank-dominated lending to a diversified financing ecosystem offers unprecedented opportunities for private credit investors.
From Wall Street funds to small-time day traders, those who dared to bet big on Elon Musk’s business empire are closing out the year with hefty payoffs, as Donald Trump’s US election win turbocharges the fortunes of the world’s richest man.
Collectively, we’re spending more and more on Christmas each and every year. This happens despite concerns about the economy and politics—and the fact that US credit card delinquencies continue to climb higher. So, how does this put more money in our pockets as dividend investors?
Multiple jobholders account for 5.4% of civilian employment. The survey captures data for four subcategories of the multi-job workforce, the relative sizes of which we've illustrated in a pie chart.
Let's take a close look at November's employment report numbers on Full and Part-Time Employment. The latest data shows that 82.8% of total employed workers are full-time (35+ hours) and 17.2% of total employed workers are part-time (<35 hours).
Wholesale inflation rose 0.4% last month, above economist estimates of 0.2%. The producer price index for final demand was up 0.1% month-over-month (s.a.). On an annual basis, headline PPI accelerated from 2.6% in October to 3.0% in November.
In the two years since ChatGPT burst onto the scene, artificial intelligence has come to dominate investor consciousness more than any other technological breakthrough in the past two decades.
SpaceX and its investors have agreed to purchase as much as $1.25 billion of insider shares in a transaction valuing Elon Musk’s rocket and satellite maker at about $350 billion, according to an internal email seen by Bloomberg.
Republicans have lashed out at the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), a landmark package of incentives for clean energy, since it was passed two years ago.
An enduring image from 2024 will be the capture of the SpaceX booster rocket by the Mechazilla robot arms on its return to Earth. This achievement served as a powerful metaphor for the year: the improbable not only became possible but redefined expectations.
To improve potential returns and mitigate risks, investors should choose from the widest range of opportunities.
Better than expected economic data in November appears to be thwarting the FOMC's efforts to engineer lower short-term interest rates.
Riverfront's stock selection team performs analysis on individual equities that provides useful insights into how we position our portfolios.
The weekly leading economic index (WLEI) is a composite for the U.S economy that draws from over 20 time-series and groups them into the following six broad categories which are then used to construct an equally weighted average. As of November 29, the index was at 32.851, up 1.819 from the previous week, with 5 of the 6 components in expansion territory.
This series has been updated to include the November release of the consumer price index as the deflator and the monthly employment update. The latest hypothetical real (inflation-adjusted) annual earnings are at $51,510, down 6.5% from over 50 years ago. After adjusting for inflation, hourly earnings are below their all-time high from April 2020.
Let's do some analysis of the Consumer Price Index, the best-known measure of inflation. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) divides all expenditures into eight categories and assigns a relative size to each. The pie chart illustrates the components of the Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers, the CPI-U.
Inflation rose slightly in November. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the headline figure for the Consumer Price Index rose to 2.75% year-over-year, right in line with economist expectations. Additionally, core CPI came in at 3.3% as expected.
What is there to say with Bitcoin at $100,000 for those of us who thought $10,000 looked nuts.
ByteDance Ltd.’s options for TikTok in the US are looking increasingly desolate, as the tech war between Washington and Beijing boils over.
Google debuted a new version of its flagship artificial intelligence model that it said is twice as fast as its previous version and will power virtual agents that assist users.
There are not many attractive opportunities in the US large-cap space. History suggests the market is overdue for a correction.
The U.S. economy and stock market are entering 2025 from a position of strength, but risks of volatility—especially pertaining to policy—are much higher compared to last year.
For us as investors, we can say that this is déjà vu all over again as we practice our stock picking discipline.
Waiting until 67 or 70 may not feel like the best choice in the moment. Yet the extra income could mean more freedom from financial stress and more ability to enjoy your later years with peace of mind.
India’s institutional strength used to be reflected in the reliability of its national accounts.
December is a big month for stock buybacks, and by month’s end, companies are expected to spend more money repurchasing shares this year than ever before.
Strong 2024 performance may be tough to replicate given tight credit spreads, but we still have a favorable view on corporate bond investments given the strong economy.
he economic-policy consensus that prevails in the US is right about one thing.
A significant valuation gap has emerged between the top-performing megacap stocks and the rest of the market, creating potential opportunity.
Whether you want to buy or rent, finding an affordable, comfortable home can be extremely difficult, if not impossible.
Just a few short years (months?) ago, few would have believed it possible. But it happened: Bitcoin has traded above $100,000 for the first time ever.
Investment themes are highly dynamic, shouldn’t your investment process be too? Learn about a systematic framework to help with identifying and investing across the themes driving markets.
U.S. policies are set for a major reshaping as full Republican control takes hold in 2025.
Five of Franklin Templeton’s specialist investment managers provide their annual outlooks for the global economy and key asset classes, including global equities; global fixed income; global infrastructure; the macro fixed income environment; municipal bond market; high yield bond market; small cap equities; U.S. dollar; U.S. economy; and U.S. equities.
Dana Rhodes is the COO of Axtella, contributing valuable expertise on money matters and crafting impactful wealth management programs.
Bitcoin has shot up more than 40% since Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election, in part on hopes that he’ll champion a government reserve devoted entirely to the cryptocurrency.
There was a great chart in a recent Goldman Sachs Group Inc. report that got me wondering whether medium-size companies might have superpowers. Here’s my adaptation of the original graphic
How to unlock value in a complex market landscape.
Over the past few years, I’ve written numerous articles and given numerous presentations on Direct Indexing.
The BEA's core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for October showed that core inflation continues to be above the Federal Reserve's 2% long-term target at 2.3%. The October core Consumer Price Index (CPI) release was higher, at 3.3%. The Fed is on record as using core PCE data as its primary inflation gauge.
While the economy helped President Trump win a second term, it also created expectations that could prove difficult to meet.
At the 2018 Berkshire Annual Meeting, Buffett noted that “multiple times in my life, people have felt the country was more divided than ever.
Donald Trump’s tariff barrage may trigger a response from the Federal Reserve that the new president won’t like.
We launched QuantStreet a little over three years ago, and our first accounts went live as of December 2021.
The S&P 500 earnings growth rate will likely come in just below the 6% mark for the third quarter.
In their 2025 outlook, Head of Americas Equities Marc Pinto and Head of EMEA and Asia Pacific Equities Lucas Klein say a changing macroeconomic backdrop could create new pockets of leadership in global equity markets.
We compare investor risk-taking behaviors at the start of the bull market with those nearly 16 years later. We also analyze key market areas that can offer essential diversification to help manage overall portfolio risk.
While politics garner headlines, fundamentals drive the market over the long term.
Dollar bulls emboldened by Donald Trump’s win are entering a month that has historically punished the greenback.
With U.S. markets digesting disinflation with extreme valuations and concentration risk among mega-cap stocks, U.S. small-cap stocks may provide an attractive entry point relative to U.S. large-caps as we head into 2025. Importantly, a focus on quality companies within a small-cap allocation is paramount to help protect against the drawdowns that sometimes occur in small-cap stocks during periods of market volatility.
International markets are expected to clear the hurdles of uncertain trade policy, tighter fiscal policy and slower than average economic growth to support solid overall returns.
When it comes to personalized investment strategies, multiple perspectives come into play: the client, the provider and the advisor.
Astoria rounds up its 10 ETFs for 2025, providing unique thought leadership and actionable investment ideas.
As of November 29, 2024, the 10-year note was 366 basis points above its historic closing low of 0.52% reached on August 4, 2020.
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) increased to 48.4 in November but remains in contraction territory for an eighth straight month. The index has now contracted for 24 of the past 25 months. The latest reading was better than the forecast of 47.7.
Seven of our eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through December 2, 2024. The U.S. S&P 500 finished first with a year-to-date gain of 27.50%. The Hong Kong's Hang Seng finished second with a year-to-date gain of 16.45%. Germany's DAX finished in third with a year-to-date gain of 15.40%.
On this episode of the “ETF of the Week” podcast, VettaFi’s Head of Research Todd Rosenbluth discussed the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life. The pair discussed several topics related to the fund to give investors a deeper understanding of the ETF overall.
The question on “everyone’s” mind, whether the back or the front, is where will the stock market be in two, three, six years?
Trump's election win spurred market optimism, driving rallies in equities, crypto, and cyclical sector.
Let’s take a look at five of VettaFi's articles that significantly resonated with the community in 2024.
Valid until the market close on December 31, 2024
This article provides an update on the monthly moving averages we track for the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio after the close of the last business day of the month.
The yield on the 10-year note ended November 29, 2024 at 4.18%, the 2-year note ended at 4.13%, and the 30-year at 4.36%.
The latest Chicago Purchasing Manager's Index (Chicago Business Barometer) fell to 40.2 in November from 41.6 in October. The latest reading is worse than the 44.9 forecast and keeps the index in contraction territory for a twelfth straight month.
2024 is set to enter Wall Street’s hall of fame of bull years.
Saturday marks two years since OpenAI posted an oddly named widget called ChatGPT to the web. Its staffers placed bets on how many users it would accumulate, the highest estimate being 100,000. How wrong they were.
Another election season has come to an end. While there are opposing feelings about the outcome of the election, I think everyone agrees that they are happy it is over.
The U.S. economy faces growing risks, from a surging Federal deficit to geopolitical uncertainty. Investors must assess how these factors could ignite market instability and take proactive steps to safeguard their portfolios.
We are prone to animal analogies when describing disorderly situations: like herding cats, like a barrel full of monkeys, like a dog’s breakfast.
Personal income (excluding transfer receipts) rose 0.6% in October and is up 4.7% year-over-year. However, when adjusted for inflation using the BEA's PCE Price Index, real personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was up 0.3% month-over-month and up 2.3% year-over-year.
The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index® rose in November to the highest level since January. The index increased to 111.7 this month from October's upwardly revised 109.6. This month's reading was slightly lower compared to the 111.8 forecasted.
Home prices continued to trend upwards in September as the benchmark 20-city index rose for a twentieth consecutive month to a new all-time high. The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index revealed seasonally adjusted home prices for the 20-city index saw a 0.2% increase month-over-month (MoM) and a 4.6% increase year-over-year (YoY). After adjusting for inflation, the MoM was reduced to -0.2% and the YoY was -0.6%.
Merrie Zhang shares how direct indexing works, the potential benefits of it, and best practices on selecting a provider.
VettaFi spoke recently with Nate Williams, a vice president and ETF specialist with Franklin Templeton, about the growth of its ETF business.
Some post-election stock market excitement has receded, but the story of strong breadth—which predated the election—has not changed and continues to support the market for now.
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen came under fire this year from economists such as Nouriel “Dr. Doom” Roubini for stepping up the issuance of short-term Treasury bills.
Going into Thanksgiving week, we are reassured of two things we already knew about artificial intelligence, but that could play a role in portfolio allocation decisions for the new year.
For most of the last fifty years, fixed income investing has been characterized by owning some combination of Municipals, Corporates, Treasuries and Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities.
he Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TCJA) was passed in 2017, otherwise known as the Trump Tax Cuts.
Growth prospects for the group of companies dubbed the Magnificent 7 are still above average, but they’re no longer magnificent. Consensus Wall Street forecasts suggest that, in aggregate, the seven large-capitalization companies will perform just a whisker better than the “S&P 493” next year...
This week’s data and market momentum solidified the case for a resilient U.S. economy, defying concerns of an imminent slowdown. Initial jobless claims dropped to a five-month low, reinforcing the strength of the labor market, while GDP growth projections hover around an impressive 2.5%.
There has been a lot of talk about (in)efficiencies in government spending, both before and since the election. Much of the conversation has been driven by Elon Musk, who will co-head the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE, not an actual government agency). Musk has boasted he could find $2 trillion to cut from the federal budget.
While space startup Rocket Lab USA Inc. prepares to test-launch its new medium-sized rocket next year, its shares have already blasted into orbit.
Take a moment to understand a few recent breakthroughs in medicine and explore a few ways to get actionable exposure to them with ETFs.
Advisors that ignore – or are unable – to conduct bottom-up financial analysis will continue to mistakenly base their valuation assertions on dated charts and calendars with predictably flawed results.
The headlines regarding Trump's proposed tariffs and their inflationary consequences are undoubtedly worrying, but will they prove correct?
Politicians and think-tank wonks of all stripes love to condemn government “waste, fraud, and abuse.” But saying it isn’t hard. Who is the opposition? No one says we need more waste, fraud, and abuse. We’re all 100% agreed all three are bad.
This week, at the North American Blockchain Summit in Dallas, Texas, I had the distinct privilege of moderating a fireside chat with former Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper.
It is important for savers to understand guaranteed and non-guaranteed options when looking at retirement solutions offered within a 401(k) plan. Our Mike Dullaghan shares the highlights and talks about the need for personalized strategies.
Rick Raczkowski, PM, Relative Return Team, Loomis, Sayles & Company, discussed how the team views fixed income investing looking ahead.
Donald Trump’s presidency is set to bring a fresh bout of volatility to markets, supercharging an options boom driven by retail traders.
Small Cap
Private Credit: Asset-Based Finance Shines as Lending Landscape Evolves
The transition from bank-dominated lending to a diversified financing ecosystem offers unprecedented opportunities for private credit investors.
A 500% Rally Shows the Elon Musk Euphoria for Bold-Faced Fund
From Wall Street funds to small-time day traders, those who dared to bet big on Elon Musk’s business empire are closing out the year with hefty payoffs, as Donald Trump’s US election win turbocharges the fortunes of the world’s richest man.
Can Christmas Spending Put More Dividends in Your Stocking?
Collectively, we’re spending more and more on Christmas each and every year. This happens despite concerns about the economy and politics—and the fact that US credit card delinquencies continue to climb higher. So, how does this put more money in our pockets as dividend investors?
Multiple Jobholders Account for 5.4% of All Employed
Multiple jobholders account for 5.4% of civilian employment. The survey captures data for four subcategories of the multi-job workforce, the relative sizes of which we've illustrated in a pie chart.
A Closer Look at Full-time and Part-time Employment
Let's take a close look at November's employment report numbers on Full and Part-Time Employment. The latest data shows that 82.8% of total employed workers are full-time (35+ hours) and 17.2% of total employed workers are part-time (<35 hours).
Producer Price Index: Wholesale Inflation Rose in November
Wholesale inflation rose 0.4% last month, above economist estimates of 0.2%. The producer price index for final demand was up 0.1% month-over-month (s.a.). On an annual basis, headline PPI accelerated from 2.6% in October to 3.0% in November.
Big Tech Is Betting on AI. Should You?
In the two years since ChatGPT burst onto the scene, artificial intelligence has come to dominate investor consciousness more than any other technological breakthrough in the past two decades.
SpaceX Valuation Jumps to About $350 Billion in Insider Deal
SpaceX and its investors have agreed to purchase as much as $1.25 billion of insider shares in a transaction valuing Elon Musk’s rocket and satellite maker at about $350 billion, according to an internal email seen by Bloomberg.
The Future of the Inflation Reduction Act
Republicans have lashed out at the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), a landmark package of incentives for clean energy, since it was passed two years ago.
2025 Annual Global Market Outlook: The Mechazilla Moment
An enduring image from 2024 will be the capture of the SpaceX booster rocket by the Mechazilla robot arms on its return to Earth. This achievement served as a powerful metaphor for the year: the improbable not only became possible but redefined expectations.
Seeking Sterling Bond Exposure? Look Beyond the UK
To improve potential returns and mitigate risks, investors should choose from the widest range of opportunities.
Better Than Expected Economic Data in November
Better than expected economic data in November appears to be thwarting the FOMC's efforts to engineer lower short-term interest rates.
Value Investing in the US and Beyond
Riverfront's stock selection team performs analysis on individual equities that provides useful insights into how we position our portfolios.
RecessionAlert Weekly Leading Economic Index
The weekly leading economic index (WLEI) is a composite for the U.S economy that draws from over 20 time-series and groups them into the following six broad categories which are then used to construct an equally weighted average. As of November 29, the index was at 32.851, up 1.819 from the previous week, with 5 of the 6 components in expansion territory.
Middle Class Hourly Wages as of November 2024
This series has been updated to include the November release of the consumer price index as the deflator and the monthly employment update. The latest hypothetical real (inflation-adjusted) annual earnings are at $51,510, down 6.5% from over 50 years ago. After adjusting for inflation, hourly earnings are below their all-time high from April 2020.
Inside the Consumer Price Index: November 2024
Let's do some analysis of the Consumer Price Index, the best-known measure of inflation. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) divides all expenditures into eight categories and assigns a relative size to each. The pie chart illustrates the components of the Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers, the CPI-U.
Consumer Price Index: Inflation Edges Up to 2.75% in November
Inflation rose slightly in November. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the headline figure for the Consumer Price Index rose to 2.75% year-over-year, right in line with economist expectations. Additionally, core CPI came in at 3.3% as expected.
Does Bitcoin at $100,000 Signal a Last Laugh for HODLers?
What is there to say with Bitcoin at $100,000 for those of us who thought $10,000 looked nuts.
From TikTok to Nvidia, the Tech War Is Getting Uglier
ByteDance Ltd.’s options for TikTok in the US are looking increasingly desolate, as the tech war between Washington and Beijing boils over.
Google Rolls Out Faster Gemini AI Model to Power Agents
Google debuted a new version of its flagship artificial intelligence model that it said is twice as fast as its previous version and will power virtual agents that assist users.
Valuations Have Richened, But Areas Outside of Large-Caps Remain Attractive
There are not many attractive opportunities in the US large-cap space. History suggests the market is overdue for a correction.
2025 U.S. Stocks and Economy Outlook
The U.S. economy and stock market are entering 2025 from a position of strength, but risks of volatility—especially pertaining to policy—are much higher compared to last year.
Déjà Vu All Over Again
For us as investors, we can say that this is déjà vu all over again as we practice our stock picking discipline.
The $182,000 Social Security Mistake That Could Limit Your Retirement
Waiting until 67 or 70 may not feel like the best choice in the moment. Yet the extra income could mean more freedom from financial stress and more ability to enjoy your later years with peace of mind.
India Shouldn’t Let Its Data Turn Chinese
India’s institutional strength used to be reflected in the reliability of its national accounts.
Worried About Stocks? $1 Trillion in Buybacks Will Help
December is a big month for stock buybacks, and by month’s end, companies are expected to spend more money repurchasing shares this year than ever before.
2025 Corporate Bond Outlook
Strong 2024 performance may be tough to replicate given tight credit spreads, but we still have a favorable view on corporate bond investments given the strong economy.
The US Can’t Manufacture Its Way to a Thriving Middle Class
he economic-policy consensus that prevails in the US is right about one thing.
Look Beyond Today’s Stock Market Outperformers
A significant valuation gap has emerged between the top-performing megacap stocks and the rest of the market, creating potential opportunity.
Homes for Christmas
Whether you want to buy or rent, finding an affordable, comfortable home can be extremely difficult, if not impossible.
Bitcoin’s Rise to $100,000 Signals Global Adoption Shift
Just a few short years (months?) ago, few would have believed it possible. But it happened: Bitcoin has traded above $100,000 for the first time ever.
Thematic Investing: Tomorrow’s Themes, Today
Investment themes are highly dynamic, shouldn’t your investment process be too? Learn about a systematic framework to help with identifying and investing across the themes driving markets.
An Investor’s Guide to Potential U.S. Policy Changes in 2025
U.S. policies are set for a major reshaping as full Republican control takes hold in 2025.
Franklin Templeton’s 2025 Outlooks for Equities and Fixed Income Sectors
Five of Franklin Templeton’s specialist investment managers provide their annual outlooks for the global economy and key asset classes, including global equities; global fixed income; global infrastructure; the macro fixed income environment; municipal bond market; high yield bond market; small cap equities; U.S. dollar; U.S. economy; and U.S. equities.
Axtella COO Looks Ahead to the Firm’s Future
Dana Rhodes is the COO of Axtella, contributing valuable expertise on money matters and crafting impactful wealth management programs.
A Bitcoin Reserve Would Be a Bad Deal for Americans
Bitcoin has shot up more than 40% since Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election, in part on hopes that he’ll champion a government reserve devoted entirely to the cryptocurrency.
Mid-Caps Could Be the Magnificent Refuge Tech Investors Need
There was a great chart in a recent Goldman Sachs Group Inc. report that got me wondering whether medium-size companies might have superpowers. Here’s my adaptation of the original graphic
Turning the Corner? Commercial Real Estate Themes for 2025
How to unlock value in a complex market landscape.
Direct Indexing: The Smart Strategy Advisors Can’t Afford to Ignore in 2025
Over the past few years, I’ve written numerous articles and given numerous presentations on Direct Indexing.
Two Measures of Inflation: October 2024
The BEA's core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for October showed that core inflation continues to be above the Federal Reserve's 2% long-term target at 2.3%. The October core Consumer Price Index (CPI) release was higher, at 3.3%. The Fed is on record as using core PCE data as its primary inflation gauge.
Monthly Global Economic Report
While the economy helped President Trump win a second term, it also created expectations that could prove difficult to meet.
Q4 2024 Strategy Letter: One More Before Year End
At the 2018 Berkshire Annual Meeting, Buffett noted that “multiple times in my life, people have felt the country was more divided than ever.
Tariff Inflation Will Likely Be Transitory, But Fed Won’t Say So
Donald Trump’s tariff barrage may trigger a response from the Federal Reserve that the new president won’t like.
QuantStreet December 2024 Letter: Our Three-Year Anniversary
We launched QuantStreet a little over three years ago, and our first accounts went live as of December 2021.
Positive Earnings Trends Heading into 2025, S&P 500 Price Targets Rolling In
The S&P 500 earnings growth rate will likely come in just below the 6% mark for the third quarter.
A More Dynamic Playing Field for Equity Investors
In their 2025 outlook, Head of Americas Equities Marc Pinto and Head of EMEA and Asia Pacific Equities Lucas Klein say a changing macroeconomic backdrop could create new pockets of leadership in global equity markets.
Emphasize Value as Investors Increasingly Throw Caution to the Wind
We compare investor risk-taking behaviors at the start of the bull market with those nearly 16 years later. We also analyze key market areas that can offer essential diversification to help manage overall portfolio risk.
Equity Markets Carried in November by Post-election Rally
While politics garner headlines, fundamentals drive the market over the long term.
Dollar Faces Treacherous December on Trump, Rate Risks
Dollar bulls emboldened by Donald Trump’s win are entering a month that has historically punished the greenback.
OUSM: Quality, A Better Approach to Small-Cap Investing
With U.S. markets digesting disinflation with extreme valuations and concentration risk among mega-cap stocks, U.S. small-cap stocks may provide an attractive entry point relative to U.S. large-caps as we head into 2025. Importantly, a focus on quality companies within a small-cap allocation is paramount to help protect against the drawdowns that sometimes occur in small-cap stocks during periods of market volatility.
2025 Global Outlook: Clearing the Hurdles
International markets are expected to clear the hurdles of uncertain trade policy, tighter fiscal policy and slower than average economic growth to support solid overall returns.
How to Create a Personalized Portfolio with Direct Indexing
When it comes to personalized investment strategies, multiple perspectives come into play: the client, the provider and the advisor.
Special Report: Astoria’s 10 ETFs for 2025
Astoria rounds up its 10 ETFs for 2025, providing unique thought leadership and actionable investment ideas.
Treasury Yields: A Long-Term Perspective
As of November 29, 2024, the 10-year note was 366 basis points above its historic closing low of 0.52% reached on August 4, 2020.
ISM Manufacturing Index Higher Than Last Month
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) increased to 48.4 in November but remains in contraction territory for an eighth straight month. The index has now contracted for 24 of the past 25 months. The latest reading was better than the forecast of 47.7.
World Markets Watchlist: December 2, 2024
Seven of our eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through December 2, 2024. The U.S. S&P 500 finished first with a year-to-date gain of 27.50%. The Hong Kong's Hang Seng finished second with a year-to-date gain of 16.45%. Germany's DAX finished in third with a year-to-date gain of 15.40%.
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO)
On this episode of the “ETF of the Week” podcast, VettaFi’s Head of Research Todd Rosenbluth discussed the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) with Chuck Jaffe of Money Life. The pair discussed several topics related to the fund to give investors a deeper understanding of the ETF overall.
The Changing Nature of the Stock Market
The question on “everyone’s” mind, whether the back or the front, is where will the stock market be in two, three, six years?
BUZZ Investing: Election Sparks 'Trump Trade' Rally
Trump's election win spurred market optimism, driving rallies in equities, crypto, and cyclical sector.
5 ETF Articles That Broke Through in 2024
Let’s take a look at five of VettaFi's articles that significantly resonated with the community in 2024.
Moving Averages: S&P Finishes November 2024 Up 5.7%
Valid until the market close on December 31, 2024
This article provides an update on the monthly moving averages we track for the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio after the close of the last business day of the month.
Treasury Yields Snapshot: November 29, 2024
The yield on the 10-year note ended November 29, 2024 at 4.18%, the 2-year note ended at 4.13%, and the 30-year at 4.36%.
Chicago PMI Edged Lower in November
The latest Chicago Purchasing Manager's Index (Chicago Business Barometer) fell to 40.2 in November from 41.6 in October. The latest reading is worse than the 44.9 forecast and keeps the index in contraction territory for a twelfth straight month.
The Vintage Year for US Stock Markets That Few People Expected
2024 is set to enter Wall Street’s hall of fame of bull years.
ChatGPT’s $8 Trillion Birthday Gift to Big Tech
Saturday marks two years since OpenAI posted an oddly named widget called ChatGPT to the web. Its staffers placed bets on how many users it would accumulate, the highest estimate being 100,000. How wrong they were.
Groundhog Day Meets Back to the Future - Our November 2024 Market Commentary
Another election season has come to an end. While there are opposing feelings about the outcome of the election, I think everyone agrees that they are happy it is over.
One Spark Away from Ignition
The U.S. economy faces growing risks, from a surging Federal deficit to geopolitical uncertainty. Investors must assess how these factors could ignite market instability and take proactive steps to safeguard their portfolios.
Chaotic Commitments at COP29
We are prone to animal analogies when describing disorderly situations: like herding cats, like a barrel full of monkeys, like a dog’s breakfast.
The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income Up 0.6% in October
Personal income (excluding transfer receipts) rose 0.6% in October and is up 4.7% year-over-year. However, when adjusted for inflation using the BEA's PCE Price Index, real personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was up 0.3% month-over-month and up 2.3% year-over-year.
Consumer Confidence Rises in November
The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index® rose in November to the highest level since January. The index increased to 111.7 this month from October's upwardly revised 109.6. This month's reading was slightly lower compared to the 111.8 forecasted.
S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index: Hits New Record High in September
Home prices continued to trend upwards in September as the benchmark 20-city index rose for a twentieth consecutive month to a new all-time high. The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index revealed seasonally adjusted home prices for the 20-city index saw a 0.2% increase month-over-month (MoM) and a 4.6% increase year-over-year (YoY). After adjusting for inflation, the MoM was reduced to -0.2% and the YoY was -0.6%.
Keep More of What You Earn With Direct Indexing
Merrie Zhang shares how direct indexing works, the potential benefits of it, and best practices on selecting a provider.
Financial Giant Charts a Differentiated Course in Active ETFs
VettaFi spoke recently with Nate Williams, a vice president and ETF specialist with Franklin Templeton, about the growth of its ETF business.
Breadth of Life: Post-Election Market Trends
Some post-election stock market excitement has receded, but the story of strong breadth—which predated the election—has not changed and continues to support the market for now.
Bessent Has $6.7 Trillion Mountain of Worry Waiting at Treasury
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen came under fire this year from economists such as Nouriel “Dr. Doom” Roubini for stepping up the issuance of short-term Treasury bills.
ETFs for Artificial Intelligence’s Broadening Reach
Going into Thanksgiving week, we are reassured of two things we already knew about artificial intelligence, but that could play a role in portfolio allocation decisions for the new year.
CLO Default Rates Are Significantly Lower Than Corporate Default Rates
For most of the last fifty years, fixed income investing has been characterized by owning some combination of Municipals, Corporates, Treasuries and Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities.
Budget Rule Shenanigans
he Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TCJA) was passed in 2017, otherwise known as the Trump Tax Cuts.
The Magnificent 7 Are Beginning to Look Average
Growth prospects for the group of companies dubbed the Magnificent 7 are still above average, but they’re no longer magnificent. Consensus Wall Street forecasts suggest that, in aggregate, the seven large-capitalization companies will perform just a whisker better than the “S&P 493” next year...
Economic Resilience Continues to Impact Rate Outlook
This week’s data and market momentum solidified the case for a resilient U.S. economy, defying concerns of an imminent slowdown. Initial jobless claims dropped to a five-month low, reinforcing the strength of the labor market, while GDP growth projections hover around an impressive 2.5%.
Looking For Efficiencies in Government Spending: Look Elsewhere
There has been a lot of talk about (in)efficiencies in government spending, both before and since the election. Much of the conversation has been driven by Elon Musk, who will co-head the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE, not an actual government agency). Musk has boasted he could find $2 trillion to cut from the federal budget.
Rocket Lab Shows SpaceX Isn’t the Only Game in Orbit
While space startup Rocket Lab USA Inc. prepares to test-launch its new medium-sized rocket next year, its shares have already blasted into orbit.
Disruptive Theme of the Week: Breakthroughs in Medicine
Take a moment to understand a few recent breakthroughs in medicine and explore a few ways to get actionable exposure to them with ETFs.
Avoiding Analytical Distortions
Advisors that ignore – or are unable – to conduct bottom-up financial analysis will continue to mistakenly base their valuation assertions on dated charts and calendars with predictably flawed results.
Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary, Claim the Experts
The headlines regarding Trump's proposed tariffs and their inflationary consequences are undoubtedly worrying, but will they prove correct?
Waste, Fraud, and Abuse
Politicians and think-tank wonks of all stripes love to condemn government “waste, fraud, and abuse.” But saying it isn’t hard. Who is the opposition? No one says we need more waste, fraud, and abuse. We’re all 100% agreed all three are bad.
Stephen Harper’s Blueprint for Economic Growth and Middle-Class Prosperity
This week, at the North American Blockchain Summit in Dallas, Texas, I had the distinct privilege of moderating a fireside chat with former Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper.
What Retirement Plan Advisors Need to Know About In-Plan Retirement Income Solutions
It is important for savers to understand guaranteed and non-guaranteed options when looking at retirement solutions offered within a 401(k) plan. Our Mike Dullaghan shares the highlights and talks about the need for personalized strategies.
2025 Fixed Income Investing: The Credit Cycle & Duration
Rick Raczkowski, PM, Relative Return Team, Loomis, Sayles & Company, discussed how the team views fixed income investing looking ahead.
Trump Set to Supercharge Options Boom Driven by Retail Investors
Donald Trump’s presidency is set to bring a fresh bout of volatility to markets, supercharging an options boom driven by retail traders.