VettaFi | Advisor Perspectives
The S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq: Real Returns Since 2000 Peak (May 2026)
Here is a look at real (inflation-adjusted) charts of the S&P 500, Dow 30, and Nasdaq composite since their 2000 highs. We've updated this through the May 2026 close.
The Total Return Roller Coaster: May 2026
Here's an interesting set of charts that will especially resonate with those of us who follow economic and market cycles. Imagine that five years ago you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500. How much would it be worth today, with dividends reinvested but adjusted for inflation?
Secular Bull and Bear Market Trends: May 2026
The S&P 500 real monthly averages of daily closes reached a its all-time high in May 2026. Let's examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of historical bull and bear market trends in market performance.
America's Driving Habits: April 2026
Travel on all roads and streets increased in April. The 12-month moving average was up 0.05% month-over-month and was up 1.04% year-over-year. However, if we factor in population growth, the 12-month MA of the civilian population-adjusted data (age 16-and-over) was up 0.02% month-over-month and up 0.40% year-over-year.
Vehicle Sales Inch Up 0.4% in May
Vehicle sales inched up in May, coming in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 16.083 million units. This represents a 0.4% increase from the previous month and a 3.2% rise from one year ago.
Initial Unemployment Claims Up 13K, Higher Than Expected
In the week ending May30th, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 225,000, the highest level in nearly four months. This represents an increase of 13,000 from the previous week's figure and was higher than the forecast of 214,000.
Market Valuation, Inflation and Treasury Yields: May 2026
Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations for investment returns. This analysis focuses on the P/E10 ratio, key indicator of market valuation, and its correlation with inflation and the 10-year Treasury yield.
Buffett Valuation Indicator: May 2026
Following the Q1 GDP second estimate, the 'Buffett Indicator'—the ratio of corporate equities to GDP—now stands at 229.7%. This marks the second-highest reading in history, eclipsed only by the previous quarter.
Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin Sinks Below $70K
Bitcoin struggled for a third straight week, dropping below $70,000 for the first time since early April. BTC is currently down approximately 24% year-to-date and sits ~47% below its October 2025 record high.
ISM Services PMI: Continued Expansion in May
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) released its May Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), with the headline composite index at 54.5. This was higher than the forecast of 53.7 and keeps the index in expansion territory for a 23rd consecutive month.
S&P Global Services PMI: Slower Expansion in May
The May U.S. Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) from S&P Global inched down 0.3 points to 50.7, indicating slower expansion in the services sector. The latest reading was lower than the forecast of 50.9 and was among the weakest months of expansion in the past 2.5 years.
ADP National Employment Report: 122K Private Jobs Added in May
The ADP employment report revealed that 122,000 nonfarm private jobs were added in May, the largest monthly growth since January 2025. The latest figure was just above the projected 118,000 addition.
Gas Prices Drop to 1-Month Low
Gas prices fell for a third straight week, reaching their lowest level since late April. As of June 1st, weekly prices were down 17 cents for regular and down 14 cents for premium gasoline.
Market Valuation: Is the Market Still Overvalued?
Here is a summary of the four market valuation indicators we update on a monthly basis.
- The Crestmont Research P/E ratio
- The cyclical P/E ratio using the trailing 10-year earnings as the divisor
- The Q ratio, which is the total price of the market divided by its replacement cost
- The relationship of the S&P composite price to a regression trendline
Crestmont P/E and Market Valuation: May 2026
Based on May's S&P 500 average of daily closes, the Crestmont P/E of 43.8 is 185% above its arithmetic mean, 213% above its geometric mean, and is in the 100th percentile of this 14-plus-decade series.
Q-Ratio and Market Valuation: May 2026
The Q Ratio is the total price of the market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. As of May 2026, the latest Q-ratio is at 2.11, the highest level in history.
P/E10 and Market Valuation: May 2026
Here is the latest update of a popular market valuation method, Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, using the most recent Standard & Poor's "as reported" earnings and earnings estimates, and the index monthly average of daily closes for the past month. The latest trailing twelve months (TTM) P/E ratio is 25.9 and the latest P/E10 ratio is 39.9, the highest level since 2000.
Regression to Trend: S&P Composite 207% Above Trend in May
The inflation-adjusted S&P Composite Index was 207% above its long-term trend at the end of May.
Job Openings Jump to Near 2-Year High in April
Job openings jumped to their highest level in nearly two years in April, reaching 7.618 million vacancies according to the latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This represents an increase of 731,000 from the previous month, the largest monthly rise since 2021.
World Markets Watchlist: June 1, 2026
Five of the nine indexes on our world markets watch list posted year-to-date gains through June 1, 2026.
10-Year Treasury Yield Long-Term Perspective: May 2026
The 10-year Treasury yield has experienced dramatic fluctuations, ranging from a peak of 15.68% in October 1981, during the height of the Volcker era, to a historic low of 0.55% in August 2020, amidst the economic uncertainty of the pandemic. At the end of May 2026, the weekly average stood at 4.47%.
ISM Manufacturing PMI: Highest Level Since May 2022
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) came in at 54.0 in May, marking the fastest expansion for the index since May 2022. The latest reading was higher than the 53.3 forecast and is the index's fifth straight month in expansion territory.
3 Reasons To Invest In Closed-End Funds This Summer
Closed-end funds may not be a hot topic right now, but they offer a highly compelling means to solve today's macroeconomic woes.
S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI™: Highest Level Since May 2022
U.S. manufacturing hit its highest level in four years, as the S&P Global PMI climbed 0.6 points to 55.1 in May. For a second straight month, the expansion was largely driven by defensive stockpiling as companies continue bracing for supply disruptions and price hikes linked to conflict in the Middle East.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Inflation Up, Confidence Down
Last week’s data tracked a shifting economic trajectory over the last several months. While the latest reading on first-quarter GDP confirms the economy started the year with steady growth, subsequent inflation metrics moved higher and ultimately weighed on consumer confidence.
Moving Averages of the Ivy Portfolio and S&P 500: May 2026
Valid until the market close on June 30, 2026
This article provides an update on the monthly moving averages we track for the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio after the close of the last business day of the month.
S&P 500 Snapshot: Win Streak Continues with Multiple Record Highs
Building on the last week's strength, the S&P 500 rose every day this week and set multiple new record highs. With a 1.6% weekly increase, the index secured its ninth straight weekly gain, matching its longest winning streak from 2023.
Treasury Yields Snapshot: May 29, 2026
The yield on the 10-year note finished May 29, 2026 at 4.45% while the 2-year note ended at 3.98%.
Chicago PMI Surges to 4-Year High
The Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index surged 13.5 points in May to a four-year high of 62.7, signaling an expansion in regional business activity. This marks the largest monthly increase since 2020 and was significantly higher than the projected 50.6.
The Big Four Recession Indicators
Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. There is, however, a general belief that there are four big indicators that the committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process.
GDP Per Capita: Q1 2026 Second Estimate
The second estimate for Q1 GDP came in at 1.62%, an acceleration from 0.48% for the Q4 final estimate. With a per-capita adjustment, the headline number is lower at 1.44%, a pickup from 0.18% for the Q4 headline number.
An Inside Look at the Q1 2026 GDP Second Estimate
Real gross domestic product (GDP) is comprised of four major subcomponents. In the Q1 2026 GDP second estimate, three of the four components made positive contributions.
Two Measures of Inflation: April 2026
Inflation remains a hot topic, directly impacting everything from your grocery bill to interest rates. As of the latest data, two key inflation gauges — the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) — show that prices are still above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, with the core PCE at 3.3% and core CPI at 2.8%.
The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income
Personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was down 0.05% in April and was up 2.68% year-over-year. However, when adjusted for inflation using the BEA's PCE Price Index, real personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was down 0.44% month-over-month and down 1.04% year-over-year.
New Home Sales Fall 6% in April as Median Price Surges
New home sales fell more than expected in April while the median price experienced its largest jump in seven years.
Real Disposable Income Per Capita Down 0.5% in April
With the release of April's report on personal incomes and outlays, we can now take a closer look at "real" disposable personal income per capita. To two decimal places, disposable income per capita was up down 0.10% month-over-month. But when adjusted for inflation, real disposable income per capita was down 0.50%.
Durable Goods Orders Jump 7.9% in April, More Than Expected
New orders for manufactured durable goods jumped 7.9% in April to $345.96B, almost twice as much as the projected 4.0% monthly growth.
Q1 GDP Second Estimate: Real GDP at 1.6%, Lower Than Expected
U.S. economic growth rebounded at the beginning of 2026, according to the BEA’s latest estimate. Real GDP rose at 1.6% annual rate in Q1, falling short of the 2.0% forecast but marking an acceleration from the 0.5% final estimate seen in Q4 of last year.
Core PCE Inflation at 3.3% in April, Highest Level Since 2023
The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, climbed 3.3% year-over-year in April. This marks the highest level since November 2023 and marks a steady pickup from March's 3.2% reading. On a monthly basis, core prices rose 0.2%.
Two Measures of Consumer Attitudes: May 2026
What are consumers thinking about the economy? Their collective mood offers crucial clues for businesses, investors, and policymakers alike. In May, the two leading benchmarks, the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index (MCSI) and the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index (CCI), offered similar views with both retreating amid ongoing inflation concerns.
Richmond Manufacturing Index Reaches Near 5-Year High
Fifth district manufacturing activity increased in May according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index rose ten points points to 13, marking the highest level in nearly five years. This month's reading was above the forecast of 4.
Dallas Fed Manufacturing: Slower Growth in May
The Dallas Fed released its Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (TMOS) for May. The general business activity index rose 2.7 points to 0.4, indicating slower growth of manufacturing activity and stable business conditions perceptions.
Consumer Confidence Dipped in May as Inflation Intensifies
The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index® fell for the first time in four months in May, dropping 0.7 points to 93.1. Despite the slight dip, the index came in above the forecast of 91.9.
Chicago Fed National Activity Index: Economic Growth Increased in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to +0.14 in April from -0.15 in March. Two of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index increased from March, and two categories made positive contributions.
S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Index: Housing Slowdown Intensifies
Home prices fell for the first time in eight months in March according to the S&P Cotality Case-Shiller index, as the housing slowdown intensifies. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the national index dropped 0.2% month-over-month and was up 0.7% year-over-year, the slowest pace since June 2023.
FHFA House Price Index Reaches New Record High in March
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index (HPI) reached a new record high in March, rising 0.1% to 441.6.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: High Leverage, Low Sentiment
There is currently a stark contrast between everyday consumer confidence and financial market behavior. On one hand, persistent inflation and elevated living costs have driven consumer sentiment to historic lows. On the other hand, financial market participants are exhibiting aggressive risk appetite, with margin debt surging to an all-time high record on the heels of major equity market gains.
Consumer Sentiment Sinks to Record Low as Cost of Living Concerns Intensify
Consumer sentiment sank for a third straight month to another record low amid intense cost of living concerns and stubbornly high prices. The final May reading for the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 44.8, marking a 5-point drop from April and falling well below the month's preliminary estimate of 48.2.
Zillow Home Value Index: "Real" Home Values Drop Sharply
Home values continued their upward trend in April, according to the Zillow Home Value Index. However, after adjusting for inflation, real home values dropped sharply, remaining at their lowest level in over five years.
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index: Activity Continued to Increase in May
The Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey revealed regional activity continued to increase in May. The composite index came in at 8 this month, down slightly from 10 in April but still indicating continued expansion.
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index: Lowest Level of 2026
The latest Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index showed activity weakened in May, with the index sinking 27.1 points to -0.4. The latest reading marked the lowest level for the index this year and was worse than the forecast of 17.6.
Building Permits Rise 5.8% in April, Higher Than Expected
Building permits rose 5.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.442 million. The latest reading exceeded the forecast of 1.380 million.
Housing Starts Fall 2.8% in April, Higher Than Expected
Housing starts fell 2.8% in April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.465 million. The latest reading exceeded the projected 1.420 million.
Margin Debt Up 6.8% in April to a Record High
Margin debt rose for the first time in three months to a record high in April, coming in at $1.30 trillion. This marked a 6.8% increase from March and a 53.3% rise compared to the previous year.
Why the 60/40 Portfolio Needs a New Playbook
As inflation lingers and market dynamics shift, advisors are rethinking the 60/40 portfolio with managed futures and options income ETFs.
Gas Prices Cross the $4 Mark in Nearly Every State
Gas prices were relatively flat this week, remaining at their highest level in nearly four years. As of May 18th, weekly prices were down 1 cent for regular and were unchanged for premium.
Pending Home Sales Up for Third Straight Month
The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) pending home sales index rose 1.4% in April to 74.8, markings its third consecutive increase and highest level since November.
NAHB Housing Market Index: Affordability Challenges Persist
Builder confidence posted a modest gain in May despite persistent affordability challenges and economic uncertainty. The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Housing Market Index (HMI) rose 3 points from April to 37 this month, marking the 25th consecutive negative reading.
The Big Four Recession Indicators: Industrial Production
Industrial production rose more than expected in April, increasing 0.7% after a 0.3% decline in March. This was higher than the expected 0.3% growth and marks a 1.4% increase compared to one year ago.
Empire State Manufacturing Survey: Highest Level in Four Years
Manufacturing activity grew strongly in New York State, according to the Empire State Manufacturing May survey. The diffusion index for General Business Conditions rose 8.6 points to 19.6, its highest level in over four years.
Private Equity Premia in a Public Equity Wrapper? Goldman’s Approach
Investors and advisors often seek private equity, but they are frequently thwarted by liquidity and other issues.
Addressing Common 529 Savings Plan Concerns
Addressing common 529 Savings Plan concerns and how recent legislative updates have broadened the 529 scope.
The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Retail Sales
Nominal retail sales were up 0.49% month-over-month and up 4.87% year-over-year in April. However, after adjusting for inflation, real retail sales were down 0.15% month-over-month and up 1.05% year-over-year.
Retail Sales: Consumer Spending Rises for Third Straight Month
According to the Census Bureau’s Advance Retail Sales Report, consumer spending climbed for the third consecutive month in April. While headline sales rose 0.5% (as expected), this marked a deceleration from March’s 1.6% surge, with much of the gain driven by higher prices at the pump.
Multiple Jobholders Account for 5.2% of Workers in April 2026
Multiple jobholders accounted for 5.2% of civilian employment in April.
Producer Price Index: Wholesale Inflation Hits Highest Level Since 2022
March’s Producer Price Index (PPI) data offered a significant reprieve for inflation watchers, as wholesale price growth came in broadly softer than expected.
A Closer Look at Full-time and Part-time Employment: April 2026
April's employment report showed that 17.5% of total employed workers were part time and 82.5% of total employed workers were full-time.
Unemployment Claims and the CLF as a Recession Indicator: April 2026
What does the ratio of unemployment claims to the civilian labor force tell us about where we are in the business cycle and recession risk?
Inflation Since 1872: A Long-Term Look at the CPI
The April release of the Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (CPI-U) places the year-over-year inflation rate at 3.81%. This marks the first time since May 2023 that inflation is above the post-WWII average of 3.72% and the second consecutive month that the current rate has dipped below the 10-year moving average, which currently sits at 3.24%.
Short-Term Energy Outlook: May 2026
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has released its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), providing forecasts for energy markets. This article presents the annual production outlooks for crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs), comparing the May 2026 projections against the previous month's estimates.
Household Debt Rises to $18.79 Trillion in Q1 2026
Total U.S. household debt climbed to a record $18.79 trillion in Q1 2026, a modest 0.1% ($18 billion) increase from the previous quarter. The overall rise was driven by increases across a handful of categories, specifically mortgage and auto loan balances.
Inside the Consumer Price Index: April 2026
Inflation affects everything from grocery bills to rent, making the Consumer Price Index (CPI) one of the most closely watched economic indicators. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) tracks this by categorizing spending into eight categories, each weighted by its relative importance.
Real Middle Class Wages: April 2026
This series has been updated to include the March release of the consumer price index as the deflator and the monthly employment update. The latest hypothetical real (inflation-adjusted) annual earnings are at $54,469, down 5.8% from over 50 years ago.
NFIB Small Business Survey: Optimism Challenged by Inflation
The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index inched up 0.1 points to 95.9, remaining below the index's historical average for a second straight month.
Consumer Price Index: Inflation at 3.8% in April
Inflation surged to 3.8% year-over-year in April, hitting its highest level in nearly three years. The headline figure for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was slightly above the forecast of 3.7%, driven primarily by cost increases in energy, shelter, and food.
Are Municipal Bonds Primed for a Summer Rebound?
Munis may have struggled a bit in March, but the long-term environment for these bonds remains full of potential.
The 529 Evolution: From College Savings to Versatile Financial Tool
Explore the new 529 rules, including Roth IRA rollovers, the grandparent loophole, and higher K-12 limits.
Existing Home Sales Modestly Boosted in April
Existing home sales were modestly boosted in April, inching up 0.2% following a 2.9% decline in March. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), sales reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.02 million units, falling just short of the projected 4.05 million.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Resilience in the Labor Market
The U.S. labor market demonstrated remarkable endurance in April, with job gains outpacing expectations and private sector expansion reaching its strongest point in over a year. As the Federal Reserve maintains a steady interest rate policy, the focus now turns to upcoming inflation and retail data to gauge the sustainability of this momentum.
S&P Persistence Scorecard Reveals Universal Struggles for Active Strategies
As market volatility lingers, the latest S&P Persistence Scorecard reveals a sobering reality for active managers.
The Big Four Recession Indicators: April 2026 Employment
There is a general belief that there are four big indicators that the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process. This commentary focuses on one of these indicators: nonfarm employment. In April, total nonfarm payrolls increased by 115,000 while the unemployment rate remained at 4.3%.
Employment Report: 115K Jobs Added in April, Better Than Expected
The latest employment report showed that 115,000 jobs were added in April, down from March's 185,000 gain. This figure was better than the projected addition of 65,000 jobs. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate remained at 4.3%, as expected.
Rethinking Growth: Why Glamour Isn't a Proxy for Performance
Research Affiliates explains how a fundamental growth strategy can outperform traditional market-cap-weighted growth indices.
PWRD: Solving the $5 Trillion Power Constraint
TCW's concentrated strategy targets power grid constraints over clean tech, riding demand from AI and manufacturing reshoring.
Goldman Sachs’ 2025 Retirement Investing Report: 3 Takeaways
Retirement is a challenge for countless investors and their advisors. A new report from Goldman Sachs has more.
Advisor Perspectives’ Top 5 Articles Examine Big Topics
April saw a variety of articles published on Advisor Perspectives address core questions with which advisors and their client must contend.
Trade Deficit Expands 4% in March
The U.S. trade deficit expanded over 4% in March to $60.31B after expanding nearly 6% the previous month. The latest reading barely missed the forecast of -$61.00B.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Rising Inflation and Policy Dissent
The U.S. economy ended April with mixed signals: steady interest rates and high Fed dissent met persistent, energy-driven inflation. Despite these hurdles, accelerated Q1 growth and rising consumer confidence provided a buffer against ongoing global instability.
Volatility ETFs Seem Perfect for the Current Moment; Have They Performed?
Volatility ETFs have specific purposes to fulfill for investors -- so have they done so in a very volatile year?
Fed’s Interest Rate Decision: April 29, 2026
The Federal Reserve concluded its third meeting of the year by holding the federal funds rate (FFR) steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range.
Home Ownership Rate at 65.3% in Q1 2026
The Census Bureau released its latest quarterly report for Q1 2026 showing the latest homeownership rate is at 65.3%.
Richmond Manufacturing Index Reaches 20-Month High
Fifth district manufacturing activity increased in April according to the most recent survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. The composite manufacturing index rose three points points to 3, marking the highest level for the index in 20 months. This month's reading was above the forecast of 2.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Resilience Amid Record Sentiment Lows
Last week’s economic data was defined by conflicting signals from the consumer. While retail figures suggest resilience, sentiment levels have plummeted to record lows. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 continued its historic rally as markets prepare for the upcoming Fed decision.
Why Flows Into Active ETFs Are Outpacing Total Market Share
Active ETFs are no longer a niche satellite play; they are becoming central pillars of modern portfolio construction.
Chart-ing the Economy: Week of April 6-10th, 2026
While recent market performance reflects optimism over potential geopolitical de-escalation, underlying economic data reveals a complex landscape of intensifying price pressures and cooling growth. This article examines the major economic news from the week of April 6-10th, 2026.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Geopolitical Tensions and Inflationary Pressures
While recent market performance reflects optimism over potential geopolitical de-escalation, underlying economic data reveals a complex landscape of intensifying price pressures and cooling growth.
How Advisors Are Rewiring Fixed Income Portfolios
The traditional 60/40 portfolio is undergoing a structural renovation, but the fixed income sleeve is proving difficult to stabilize.
The Four Bad Bears: A Century of Market Recovery
While every market downturn is unique, history offers a crucial lens for understanding recovery. This chart series provides a comprehensive overlay of the Four Bad Bears in U.S. history since the 1929 peak, comparing their recovery paths through the S&P 500's close on March 31, 2026.
Optimizing Late-Start 529 Plans: Tactical Strategies for Advisors
Learn how advisors can optimize late-start 529 plans using superfunding, SECURE 2.0 Roth rollovers, and multi-scenario modeling.
Advisors Weigh Crypto Portfolio Strategies
An Exchange conference panel explored bitcoin's evolving role, allocation tactics, and ETF structures for advisors building crypto portfolios.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Erosion of Confidence and Extended Market Losses
Heavily influenced by escalating geopolitical conflicts, last week's economic snapshot reveals a sharp erosion of confidence among consumers and investors alike.
What Advisors Should Know About the ETF/Mutual Fund Convergence
The convergence of ETFs, mutual funds, and tokenization is gaining momentum as asset managers seek to modernize product structures, expand distribution, and future-proof their businesses without abandoning established regulatory frameworks.
Report: Both Mutual Fund & ETF Fees Declined Again in 2025
ETF fees are falling, along with mutual fund fees, according to a new report looking back over multiple decades.
Cerulli Cites Growth Opportunity in Mass-Affluent Middle Market
The U.S. middle market has hit $25 trillion. Discover why Cerulli says the advisor shortage and shifting demographics make early engagement a necessity.
How Advisors Are Leveling Up With 351 ETF Conversions
Learn how RIAs are using Section 351 ETF conversions to modernize SMA strategies, defer capital gains, and boost firm valuation.
Why Few Advisors Plan for Succession
Industry experts at Exchange 2026 explored why only a quarter of advisors have formal succession planning in place and what it takes to execute well.
The Fed's Financial Accounts: What Are Uncle Sam's Largest Assets?
When we think of the U.S. government's finances, we often focus on the massive debt. But what about the assets? What does Uncle Sam actually own, and which asset is the largest?
Household Net Worth Q4 2025: The "Real" Story
How much wealthier are Americans since the Great Recession? While a look at the headlines shows a staggering 211% increase in household net worth since 2009, adjusting for inflation tells a much different story.
DoubleLine’s Jeffrey Sherman on the Fed’s TACO Trade & Fixed Income Strategy
Jeffrey Sherman of DoubleLine provided a candid assessment of the Federal Reserve's current trajectory and fixed income at Exchange.
Dimensional Launches the First Actively Managed ETF Share Class
History made: Dimensional launches first active ETF share class. Access 40 years of micro-cap expertise in a tax-efficient ETF wrapper.
How Active ETFs Brought Muni Bonds Investing to Life
Muni bonds have been a strong performer so far in 2026, benefitting from an important transition to the ETF wrapper from mutual funds.
March Madness: The 2026 AP Charts Bracket
With the NCAA tournament beginning in just a few days, we’ve applied the bracket format to our own research. While economic theory often dictates what should be most important to investors, our reader engagement reveals which topics truly commanded investor attention over the past year.
ETF Roundup: 3 New ETF Launches in February to Watch
February saw more than 50 new ETF launches according to ETF Database data, with some standout offerings to note.
Olympic Arbitrage: Normalizing Success at the 2026 Winter Olympics
The Milano-Cortina 2026 Winter Games concluded with a familiar hierarchy at the top of the medal table. But in the world of economic indicators, we rarely look at totals without normalizing for scale. The 2026 Winter Games are no different.
Tactical Philanthropy & Legacy Planning for HNW Investors
A guide to helping HNW investors align tax efficiency with philanthropy, retirement strategy, and multi-generational wealth transfer planning.
Tax Strategies Every High-Net-Worth Advisor Should Know
From real estate to multi-generational planning, learn the key strategies high-net-worth individuals use to maximize wealth and legacy.
ETF Innovation: Preparing for the Unexpected
With uncertainty rising through geopolitical conflict, AI risk, and inflation, ETFs that offer greater portfolio control may be the way to go.
How Financial Advisors Can Best Reach Millennial Clients
It’s no secret for financial advisors today that cracking the millennial client base is a key part of their work. Every day, U.S. millennials inherit major sums of money and are unsure of how to steward their new assets.
Tech Gives Advisors Edge Despite Growing Complexity
Wealth management tech helps RIAs scale, but integration challenges and learning curves remain barriers to maximizing effectiveness.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Inflation Heat Meets a Cooling Economy
The U.S. economy sent conflicting signals last week as a sharp deceleration in growth collided with unexpectedly stubborn inflation.
Augmenting Advisor-Client Relationships With Charitable Giving
Advisors can foster a stronger relationship with their clients through providing advice over charitable giving.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Labor Strength Meets Cooling Inflation
The U.S. economy began 2026 with a display of unexpected resilience in the labor market and cooling inflation.
The Reality of Fund Merger Fee Savings
SEC White Paper: Do fund mergers lower fees? Explore how economies of scale impact expense ratios and performance for ETFs and mutual funds.
What Advisors Need to Know About the Rapid Rise of Active ETFs
The surge in active ETF launches aligns with broader market trends. For example, active ETF strategies accounted for roughly 60% of new ETF launches in the early months of 2025, underscoring the category’s growing momentum and advisor interest.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Jobs Data Softens While Consumer Sentiment Rises
The U.S. labor market showed further signs of cooling last week as private sector hiring slowed and job openings reached their lowest levels in over five years.
An Advisor’s Roadmap to AI Integration From Vanguard’s CIO
Vanguard CIO Lauren Wilkinson shares a strategic roadmap for RIAs curious about AI integration for their practice.
Not Just Stocks: State Street Leader Bartolini Talks Diversification, ETFs in 2026
ETF industry and State Street Investment Management leader Matt Bartolini joined VettaFi's Todd Rosenbluth to talk diversification.
Silver ETFs: Not Always Second Place
Throughout most of 2025, silver has recently outperformed gold, proving (ironically) that it is not always second place. Strength in silver built gradually through last year, but the latest pullbacks are a reminder that near-term market reactions can outweigh fundamentals and long-term investor sentiment.
Record January ETF Flows Highlight Rotation Away From Concentration
The ETF industry has carried its record-breaking momentum from 2025, surpassing $100 billion in flows before the end of January.
Vanguard Aggressively Cuts Fees Across 53 Funds, Totaling $250 Million in Savings
In a move that underscores the relentless downward pressure on investment costs, Vanguard announced that it has slashed fees for 84 mutual fund and exchange-traded share classes. These reductions, spanning 53 different funds, represent nearly $250 million in estimated savings for investors in 2026 alone.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Fed Shifts to “Wait-and-See” as Confidence Plummets
The final week of January saw a stark divergence between official policy and the American consumer's outlook. While the Federal Reserve maintained a "solid" view of economic growth, the public’s mood plummeted to a decade-low as sticky amid sticky wholesale inflation.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Robust Growth Meets Stubborn Inflation
The U.S. economy continues to display a complex mix of resilience and persistence. As markets brace for next week’s FOMC meeting, this snapshot breaks down the latest shifts in GDP, inflation, and consumer behavior.
Acquisition Deals Signal Advisor-Centric Consolidation
Recent acquisition deals highlight asset managers’ race to capture the booming demand for model portfolios and outsourced investment solutions.
The Hidden Growth Crisis Facing Newly Independent RIAs
The champagne has gone flat. After months of planning the great breakaway, signing independence paperwork, and celebrating freedom from wirehouse constraints, newly minted registered investment advisors (RIA) owners face a sobering reality. They've traded a boss for a back-office burden that's quietly strangling their growth.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Consumer Prices Ease as Margin Debt Hits Historic Highs
As the second half of January begins, the U.S. economy presents a picture of cooling inflation and resilient consumer activity.
WisdomTree Experts Talk Fed’s Independence, CPI, & More
Market experts from the WisdomTree recently discussed how the market is responding to the latest headlines, and where opportunities lie.
Bond King Reviews 2025, Offers Clues to 2026 in Webcast
DoubleLine CEO/CIO Jeffrey Gundlach looked back at 2025 and ahead in 2026 for opportunities, with charts to support his assertions.
JPMorgan, Delta Offer Opportunities Amid Earnings Season
JPMorgan Chase and Delta Air Lines have both posted fascinating Q4 earnings, creating compelling opportunities for crafty advisors.
Seeking Diversification as the S&P 500 Nears 7,000
As the S&P 500 continues its record-breaking ascent into early 2026, financial advisors are prioritizing diversification.
Independent Advisors Rethink Research Models for 2026
Rising operational costs & complex market conditions are forcing some advisors to reconsider how they deliver investment insights to clients.
December 2025 ETF Launches: 3 Standout Funds to Consider
The ETF ecosystem grew once more in December with more than 100 new launches joining the fray. Three funds invite a closer look.
Why Fixed Income ETFs Are Going Active
JPAPM forecasts the global fixed income ETF market to grow to $6 trillion by 2030, up from approximately $3.2 trillion today.
Top 10 Charts of 2025
Now that 2025 has come to an end, let’s take a look at the top 10 most-read charts of the year.
3 Ways to Boost New Independent Advisor Productivity in 2026
Three ways financial advisors can be more productive in the new year after starting their own independent practice.
These Income ETFs Can Meet — & Exceed — Retiree Needs
Income ETFs can help retirees and their advisors navigate complicated economic times as they strive to meet their goals.
RecessionAlert Weekly Leading Economic Index
The weekly leading economic index (WLEI) is a composite for the U.S economy that draws from over 20 time-series and groups them into the following six broad categories which are then used to construct an equally weighted average. As of December 12th, the index was at 6.71 with 3 of the 6 components in expansion territory.
U.S. Workforce Recovery Analysis: November 2025
Our monthly workforce recovery analysis has been updated to include the latest employment report for November. The unemployment rate inched up to 4.6%, its highest level since 2021. Additionally, the number of new non-farm jobs (a relatively volatile number subject to extensive revisions) came in at 64,000.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Rate Cut Meets Conflicting Jobs Data
The economic narrative last week was shaped by a highly anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut, which came against a backdrop of conflicting signals in the labor market.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Softening Labor Market and Cooling Inflation
The economic narrative last week was dominated by a mix of cooling inflation and a softening labor market.
Baby Boomer Employment Through the Decades: September 2025
The 20th century Baby Boom was one of the most powerful demographic events in the history of the United States. We've created a series of charts to show seven age cohorts of the employed population from 1948 to the present.
Employment Trends for the 50+ Workforce: September 2025
Today, one in three of the 65-69 cohort, one in five of the 70-74 cohort, and one in ten of the 75+ cohort are in the labor force.
Long-Term Employment Trends by Age and Gender: September 2025
The labor force participation rate (LFPR) is a simple computation: You take the civilian labor force (people aged 16 and over employed or seeking employment) and divide it by the civilian non-institutional population (those 16 and over not in the military and or committed to an institution). As of September, the labor force participation rate is at 62.4%, up from 62.3% the previous month.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Record Investor Risk and Near-Historic Sentiment Lows
Last week's economic landscape was defined by conflicting signals from key indicators, suggesting a growing divergence between investor behavior and underlying consumer health.
The Four Economic Reports We’re Excited to See
Now that government workers are back in the office, the data flood is coming. Here are the four reports we’re most excited for, why they matter, and what we last heard from them.
Chart-ing the Economy: Week of November 3rd - 7th
Last week’s economic data sent mixed signals. Consumer sentiment plummeted to a near-record low on economic anxiety, and the manufacturing sector continued its long contraction.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Sour Sentiment, Conflicting Sectors, and Modest Job Growth
Last week’s economic data sent mixed signals. Consumer sentiment plummeted to a near-record low on economic anxiety, and the manufacturing sector continued its long contraction.
Chart-ing the Economy: Week of October 13th - 18th
Secondary economic indicators have taken on heightened importance amid the ongoing government shutdown. Read through a handful of these secondary reports from the week of October 13th-18th.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Navigating the Data Void with Secondary Reports
In a week marked by renewed S&P 500 volatility stemming from reignited tariff talks and the ongoing challenge of a government shutdown that continues to delay crucial government reports, investors and analysts have increasingly turned to secondary economic indicators for a timely view of the U.S. economy.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Flying Blind as Private Data Points to Cooling Labor Market
In the absence of primary government indicators, policymakers and investors alike must turn to private sector releases to find clarity. These secondary reports paint a picture of a cooling labor market and an increasingly cautious consumer.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Strong Economy but Worried Consumers
Last week’s economic data presented a sharp contradiction between a resilient U.S. economy and increasingly concerned American households.
Household Incomes: The Decline of the "Middle Class" 2024 Update
The median household is the statistical center of the Middle Class. Let's take a closer look at the Census Bureau's latest annual household income data with a focus on middle class income. In this update, we'll focus on the growing gap between the median (middle) and mean (average) household incomes across the complete time frame of the Census Bureau's annual reporting from 1867 to 2024.
Household Incomes 2024: The Value of Higher Education
What is the relationship between education and household income? The Census Bureau’s 2024 annual survey data provides valuable insights into this question. The median household income for individuals aged 25 and older was $85,580, but how does this figure vary based on educational attainment?
Chart-ing the Economy: Week of September 8th - 12th
Last week's economic data presented a challenging picture for the U.S. economy with key inflation reports delivering conflicting signals and a timely labor market indicator added to the narrative of a softening labor market. Read through the major economic news from the week of September 8th - 12th.
Median Household Income by State: 2024 Update
The median US income in 2024 was $83,730, up from $22,420 in 1984 — a 274% rise over the 40-year time frame. However, if we adjust for inflation chained in 2024 dollars, the 1984 median is $60.420 and the increase drops to 39%.
Median Household Incomes by Age Bracket: 1967-2024
Our commentary on household income distribution offers some fascinating insights into average U.S. household incomes, but misses the implications of age for income. In this update, we examine household income with a focus on age bracket.
U.S. Household Incomes Over 50+ Years: The Great Divide
The Census Bureau recently released its annual report on household income data for 2024. The mean (average) household income for the middle quintile rose 4.5% to $84,390. Let's take a closer look at the quintile averages, which date back to 1967, along with the statistics for the top 5%.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Rising Prices and a Softening Labor Market
Last week's economic data presented a challenging picture for the U.S. economy with key inflation reports delivering conflicting signals and a timely labor market indicator added to the narrative of a softening labor market.
Chart-ing the Economy: Week of September 2nd - 5th
The U.S. labor market continued to show signs of cooling, with all major labor indicators pointing to a softening trend and a weak hiring environment. Read through the major economic news from the week of September 2nd - 5th.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Labor Market Weakness
The U.S. labor market continued to show signs of cooling, with all major labor indicators pointing to a softening trend and a weak hiring environment.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Rising Prices and Falling Confidence
Last week's economic data revealed strong economic growth running up against rising prices and falling confidence.
Chart-ing the Economy: Week of August 18th - 22nd
Last week was dominated by a major event in the financial world, the Jackson Hole symposium, and the subsequent reaction from the markets. Read through the major economic news form the week of August 18th - 22nd.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Labor Market Weakness & the Jackson Hole Rally
In economic news other than that from Jackson Hole, the week included a new record high for margin debt and more.
Chart-ing the Economy: Week of August 11th - 15th
Last week, the S&P 500 had a rally that took it to three straight record highs but the momentum cooled as economic data painted a complex picture. Read through the major economic news from the week of August 11th-15th.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Market Hits New High as Conflicting Inflation Data Emerges
Last week, the S&P 500 had a rally that took it to 3 straight record highs. The momentum cooled as economic data painted a complex picture.
3 Interesting ETFs That Could Outperform the Market
Many advisors have come to agree that the key to navigating 2025’s uncertain market is to do so through a well-diversified portfolio.
Chart-ing the Economy: Week of July 28th - August 1st
Read through the major economic news from the week of July 28th-August 1st.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Fed Holds Steady as Jobs & Inflation Signal Trouble
A strong GDP rebound was quickly overshadowed by a weaker-than-expected jobs report and hotter-than-anticipated inflation.
Looking Beyond Cap-Weighted ETF Giants
Heading into August, with over $680 billion of net inflows YTD, the ETF industry is on track to surpass the $1 trillion mark again.
Emerging Markets Comeback Story Could Be in Early Stages
Emerging markets (EM) could finally be in the throes of a comeback, and there are already signs it could be in its early stages.
ETF Experts Agree Chasing Commodities Is a Costly Mistake
Investing in commodities can be a difficult path for investors who react impulsively to market headlines and short-term price movements.
Top 10 Charts of 2025: Midyear Review
Now that we're more than halfway through 2025, let's take a look at the top 10 most-read charts so far for the year.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Inflation Relief Meets Consumer Woes
While April brought further welcome news on the inflation front, underlying consumer fundamentals painted a more concerning picture.
Weekly Economic Snapshot: Fed Holds Steady Amid Services Growth & Record Trade Gap
Last week featured a light economic calendar, with the Fed holding its benchmark interest rate steady for the third consecutive meeting.
Emerging Markets Watchlist: April 11, 2025
Four of the nine indexes on our emerging markets watch list have posted gains through April 11, 2025. Chile's IPSA is in the top spot with a year to date gain of 11.2%. Brazil's IBOVESPA is in second with a year to date gain of 6.3% while Mexico's BMV IPC is in third with a year to date gain of 3.5%.
Unemployment Claims Down 21K, Lower Than Expected
In the week ending March 1st, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 221,000. This represents a decrease of 21,000 from the previous week's figure. The latest reading was lower than the 234,000 forecast.
Median Household Purchasing Power for the 50 States and DC: 2023 Update
Earlier this week we posted an update on the median household income for the 50 states and DC which includes annual data from 1984 to 2023. Let's now look at the actual purchasing power of those median incomes. For this adjustment, we're using the "C2ER Cost of Living Index" produced by C2ER, the Council for Community and Economic Research.
Unemployment Claims Drop to 11-Month Low
In the week ending January 4th, initial jobless claims fell to their lowest level since February 2024. Initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 201,000, a decrease of 10,000 from the previous week's figure. The latest reading was better than the 214,000 forecast.
Top 10 AP Charts of 2024
With 2024 behind us, let's revisit the top 10 most-read charts of the year.
CB Leading Economic Index: Small Rise in November
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) increased slightly in November. The index rose 0.3% from the previous month to 99.7 after eight consecutive monthly declines.
Top 10 AP Charts of 2023
As 2023 comes to an end, let’s revisit the top 10 most-read AP charts of the year.
Underlying Inflation Gauge Falls for 15th Straight Month
The latest Underlying Inflation Gauge full data set for September is 2.9%, down 0.1% from last month, while the prices-only measure is 2.2%, down 0.2% from last month. Current Headline CPI is now 3.7% and Core CPI is 4.2%.
Regional Fed Manufacturing Overview: September 2023
Five out of the 12 Federal Reserve Regional Districts currently publish monthly data on regional manufacturing: Dallas, Kansas City, New York, Richmond, and Philadelphia. The September average of the five districts is -6.5, down from the previous month.
The Philly Fed ADS Business Conditions Index
We've updated our periodic look at the Philly Fed ADS Index which includes real GDP (Q2 2023 third estimate) and initial jobless claims through 9/23.
The "Real" Goods on the August Durable Goods Data
The Census Bureau has posted its advance report on new orders for durable goods for August. This series dates from 1992 and is not adjusted for either population growth or inflation. Let's review durable goods data with those two adjustments.
Breaking Down the Components of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index
The Chicago Fed's National Activity Index is based on 85 economic indicators drawn from four broad categories of data. Two of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index decreased from July. All four categories made negative contributions in August.
A Long-Term Look: Residential Building Permits and Housing Starts
The U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development published their August findings for new residential housing starts and building permits. Over the long haul, the two series offer a compelling study of trends in residential real estate. Here is an overlay of the two series since the 1959 inception of the starts and permits data, which was tracked beginning a year later.
Employment in Goods and Services Industries Since 1939
The latest monthly employment report showed 187,000 nonfarm jobs were added in August. An industry breakdown of that number shows a gain of 151,000 service-providing jobs and a gain of 36,000 goods-producing jobs.
Top 10 AP Charts of 2022
Here's the top 10 most popular AP Charts of 2022.