Most people see “blockchain” and “funds” in the same sentence and immediately think of pools of money betting on cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ether. That isn’t how Singapore sees the utility of distributed ledgers.
In a recent discussion with Adam Taggart via Thoughtful Money, we quickly touched on the similarities between the U.S. and Japanese monetary policies around the 11-minute mark. However, that discussion warrants a deeper dive. As we will review, Japan has much to tell us about the future of the U.S. economically.
In this edition, Harold Evensky explores the challenges facing sustainable and active funds, the implications of the new DOL Fiduciary Rule, and the value of long-term performance projections. With candid observations and critical analysis--read on to gain perspective on navigating the complex world of investing, the importance of risk management, and the role of fiduciary advisors in securing your financial future.
Will 2030 DC plans perform better at preparing U.S. workers for retirement?
Decisions made by the Treasury get much less attention than those made by the Federal Reserve, but they can be even more consequential for interest rates — and the entire US economy.
Portfolio Manager Jeremy Sutch, CFA, and Chief Investment Officer Sean Taylor assess the issues besetting the region’s key markets—from domestic challenges to geopolitical headwinds—as well as their structural strengths, and whether prospects may brighten with the onset of a U.S. rate-cutting cycle.
Is private equity a problem? To what extent could this class of investment funds, which manages almost $9 trillion worldwide on behalf of everyone from wealthy individuals to California teachers, cause or propagate the next financial crisis?
For plan sponsors, the trend toward de-risking often leads to a simplification of the equity manager lineup in the return-seeking portion of the portfolio.
Having been warned about the risk, investors now ask if the yen carry trade unwind is complete. Here's how far it might still go.
When two popular trades, such as buying US big tech stocks and selling the Japanese yen, are unraveling at the same time, investors naturally think they are somehow related.
On Monday morning, investors woke up to plunging stock markets as the “Yen Carry Trade” blew up. While media headlines suggested the sell-off was due to fears of a recession, slowing employment growth, or fears over Israel and Iran, such is not the case.
On days like Monday’s dramatic selloff, which capped a three-week loss of $6.4 trillion in global wealth, personal finance experts usually have the same advice for wary retail investors:
The members of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) are probably not intimately familiar with Taylor Swift’s back catalogue. If they were, Swift’s hit “Cruel Summer” may have been ringing in their ears when cutting rates today for the first time since March 2020.
Private equity has been in the news frequently in the last few weeks, and not in a good way.
Which financial assets a central bank should buy and sell is hardly a novel question. Historically, the US Federal Reserve has focused on shorter-term Treasury securities, but quantitative easing had the Fed buying mortgage securities and quality commercial paper in significant quantities. More generally, central banks often hold gold and foreign currencies.
A recent Financial Times opinion piece laid out how illiquidity makes private equity hazardous for investors. The Bank of England’s Nathanaël Benjamin warns private equity illiquidity is a systemic risk to the financial system.
Diverse stakeholders shared perspectives at AB’s Advancing Retirement Income symposium.
The initiation of the excessive deficit procedure will hinder European unity.
With the S&P 500 index up almost 18 percent since the beginning of this year, now may be a good time to check how well your retired or near retired clients’ household assets match up with their expected spending liabilities.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s trading unit powered a surge in earnings in the second quarter.
The clubby world of private credit seems to be running out of space for the little guy.
As Pete Stavros addressed the private equity industry’s yearly shindig in Berlin last month, the KKR & Co. executive’s words were slightly less headline grabbing than those of Apollo Global Management’s co-president Scott Kleinman. But they were just as troubling.
A strategic alignment within the workplace is an opportunity for financial advisors, employers and retirement savers seeking financial planning advice. See Kevin Murphy’s views on emerging trends in workplace savings.
The global population has surpassed 8 billion and according to the United Nations, it is projected to reach 9.7 billion in 2050.¹ However, the rate of population growth is slowing and is expected to continue to decline. Seems counterintuitive, no?
Markets today pose a new existential question: Can there be a bubble in something if it has no price?
Those wishing to explore the gap between the nation’s apparent macroeconomic success and its microeconomic malaise would do well to consult Ruchir Sharma’s What Went Wrong with Capitalism.
The expert and you are in a car and the expert is driving. After awhile, you notice that the expert is driving the car by looking through the rearview mirror. Concerned you ask him why he’s not looking ahead as he drives.
In this piece, we attempt to answer a number of questions we have gotten from clients about the impacts that rising levels of passive investing may have had on the stock market.
The giant federal debt we’ve been talking about isn’t just borrowed money. It is also lent money. Loans are two-party transactions. One side receives temporary use of cash which it agrees to repay with interest. The other gives up the current use of that cash in exchange for receiving interest. Ideally, it works out for both… but not always.
This week I had the privilege of participating in a YPO (Young Presidents’ Organization) event held in Victoria Falls, Zimbabwe. One of the main topics of discussion was investment opportunities in neighboring Zambia, a country that, despite its challenges, is a rising star on the African continent, due largely to its copper exports.
U.S. corporate pension plan sponsors are required to measure their plan liabilities for a few important purposes.
A long era of easy profits in private equity is gone, and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is digging in deeper for the harder work ahead.
A rising number of U.S. taxpayers are subject to an investment income surtax, introduced a decade ago in federal legislation. Here are some strategies that may help mitigate the impact of the tax.
Nadeem Meghji was on honeymoon in late 2022 when the biggest storm to have rocked Blackstone Inc.’s property business hit its peak.
A top risk for investors, elections may see a shift from centrist to more populist policy that could slow exports, raise inflation, and increase volatility in the global markets.
Last week, Donald Trump proposed replacing the income tax with a tariff on imports. Washington DC let out a loud, and collective, scoff. The average American was intrigued. More on this in a few…but to be clear, the idea as it stands won’t work in our current system.
When JPMorgan Chase & Co. arranged a series of trades to shift the risk of losses from $20 billion of its loans, some of those dangers wound up at a familiar place: rival banks.
Historically, the level of U.S. debt has had no correlation with the performance of the stock or bond markets.
As private equity investment in health care has surged to almost $1 trillion over the past decade — funding new technologies, clinical trials and more — a lack of transparency has made it hard to assess whether the industry is also putting patients at risk.
Institutional investors have grown tired of paying fees to hedge funds for what they see as “skill-less returns.”
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has put together $21 billion for private credit wagers, its biggest war chest yet for Wall Street’s buzziest asset class.
I’m fresh off the plane from Las Vegas—and no, I wasn’t hitting the slots, though the city’s Harry Reid International Airport sure hit the jackpot with a record-breaking 57.6 million passengers last year.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is on the hunt to buy a private credit firm to augment its $3.6 trillion asset management arm, as the biggest US bank makes more inroads into Wall Street’s buzziest sector.
The goal that was so theoretical in my 20’s had become a reality in my 60’s. I had become financially independent by investing in real estate.
Idanna Appio spent 15 years at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York analysing the history of sovereign debt crises. Now, as a fund manager at the $138 billion First Eagle Investments, she’s reached a conclusion: US Treasury bonds are too risky to hold.
Shadow banking is back. A constellation of less-regulated intermediaries — from insurers to private investment funds — is increasingly taking on the traditional business of banks, making trillions of dollars in risky loans and occupying a central role in the economy.
Will the rapid growth of private credit impair financial stability?
Steady income and access to remaining assets are key considerations for DC plan sponsors.
High fees are the main reason the Bridgewater fund and the other hedge funds using a risk-parity strategy performed so badly. Their underperformance relative to the 60/40 index portfolio amounted to about three percent annually. Of that three percent about two percent went to fees and other compensation.
When it comes to Bitcoin ETFs, it’s not just the retail trading crowd that’s taking the plunge. It’s now clear that hedge funds, pension funds and banks have also sprinkled capital into the exchange-traded funds after their blockbuster debut that was more than a decade in the making.
More than 338,000 Americans relocated for retirement last year – a 44% increase from 2022 – and about a quarter of those retirees moved to a different state.
The rise of electronic trading and growing popularity of portfolio trading has had an unintended consequence for the US corporate bond market: making private credit even more attractive.
As the market for initial public offerings bounces back after two lifeless years, investors who’ve been impatiently waiting for their payoff are finally getting some returns.
Investors’ hopes for rate cuts this year have faded. The past quarter’s economic data showed that the inflation battle is not over; whether the Fed eases now depends on the data, a point Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve have repeated ad nauseam.
They subdued stocks, claimed a chunk of foreign exchange and muscled into the commodity market. Now high-tech trading firms like Citadel Securities LLC and Jane Street are pushing deeper than ever into fixed income.
Much like the NFL draft, portfolio managers undergo rigorous evaluations. Their track record, investment process, and stock selection process are considered. Additionally, qualitative assessments, including manager interviews and onsite visits, offer insights into their character and decision-making prowess.
The sorry state of Britain's equity markets has been well-documented. Across all UK indexes there have been just three initial public offerings so far this year after over 100 de-listings in 2023. The noise that this is only the beginning is getting louder.
Most clients have no idea what retirement failure means to them and how a given failure rate should influence their planning. My guests today will present a planning framework that improves existing models by dynamically adjusting for market performance and longevity.When saving for retirement it’s common for advisors to evaluate progress toward a savings goal and recommend course corrections to stay on track. Making course corrections after retirement means that the retiree must either spend less if investment returns are low or be able to spend more if markets rise.Clients need to understand how investment and longevity risk will affect their lifestyle as they make these adjustments to avoid running out of savings. The best way to understand how these risks might affect their lifestyle is through a visualization of spending paths. Visualizations are a powerful and accurate way to understand how spending more early in retirement, taking greater investment risk, and using an annuity change the course of possible lifestyle paths.
Why should anyone be allocating to investment-grade corporate bonds right now?
It was an irresistible pitch. Give us your money, executives at Ray Dalio’s Bridgewater Associates and other hedge funds said, and we’ll funnel it into a money-minting, sure-thing strategy for the long haul.
Rising interest rates and the fear of giving back stock market gains are pushing pension fund managers to move capital from stocks to bonds.
I have indicted the securities industry for spreading “a web of deceptions that have become conventional wisdom.” But a small part of the industry does provide products and services that are beneficial and necessary. That is the subject of this article.
Ongoing planning in retirement involves periodically assessing whether spending may be increased or must be decreased to remain on track.
Mistakes in both geopolitical and fiscal policies compound over time, often leading to more mistakes.
As we mark the tenth anniversary of the Statement on Standards in Personal Financial Planning Services, it's clear that this milestone was more than a mere regulatory update — it was a foundational moment for the financial planning profession.
Success in the insurance channel requires an understanding of the distinctive investment needs and regulatory considerations it faces.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon said artificial intelligence may be the biggest issue his bank is grappling with, likened its potential impact to that of the steam engine and said the technology could “augment virtually every job.”
As a retirement economist — not to be confused with a retired economist, which are rare — I often find myself talking to Wall Street types who happen to be in charge of a lot of other people’s money.
Negative interest rates have more cons than clear pros.
After a career in design that included restoring furniture and textiles for nine presidents, Iris Apfel became a fashion icon in her 80s. This isn’t a commentary on how to live out one’s retired years (some may air-quote that term). It’s to drive home the point that she lived – really lived – to 102.
Pension funds around the world are significantly underinvested in infrastructure and will help drive growth as they tip more capital into assets that will be part of the global energy transition, according to a report by IFM Investors.
It is long past the time that we face the fact that “Social Security” is facing a retirement crisis. In June 2022, we touched on this issue, discussing the stark realities confronting Social Security.
It’s budget season in Washington, which means the politicians are delivering their annual warnings about the looming Social Security crisis.
The Fed seems headed for a "higher for longer" interest rate policy. My guest and I will explore the implications of fiscal and monetary policy on the shape of the yield curve, personal balance sheets, pension plans, private credit, and opportunities for public companies. We will also discuss the implications for the upcoming election.
Is there a point where support crosses a line and becomes a form of dependency for adult children while putting the financial security of the parent at risk?
With interest rates at their highest levels in over a decade, now is a good time for most plan sponsors to de-risk their liabilities via a lump sum window.
Municipals posted positive performance and outperformed comparable Treasuries in February. We expect supply-and-demand dynamics to turn less supportive in the coming months. After patience to start the year, we would view any material backup as an opportunity to buy.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. will continue hiring in China for its asset management business as it targets growth in the world’s second-largest economy.
The average expected return on asset (EROA) assumption for the largest U.S.-listed pension plan sponsors increased to 6.70% in 2023—the first time a year-over-year increase has been observed in 19 years of records.
America’s public pension funds have gotten themselves into a bind. They’re responsible for paying trillions of dollars in future retirement benefits to teachers, firefighters, police, and other state and local employees, but their assets fall far short of what’s needed to fulfill those promises.
22%. That is the average increase in potential retirement spending that individual savers in defined contribution plans can achieve when they embed guaranteed retirement income solutions into a target date fund. For lower-income workers, it’s a 25% increase.
This lessening of government involvement, and the change in the corporate culture, together with a new or reinterpreted economic philosophy all combined to produce an unraveling of the United States that had for some time been incredibly materially productive for the benefit of all.
To Jamie Dimon, it's no better than a “pet rock.” To the late Charlie Munger, longtime lieutenant to Warren Buffett, it's “massively stupid.” And to US Senator Elizabeth Warren, it's a great tool if you’re a terrorist, drug dealer or fraudster.
Colm Kelleher whipped up a storm at the end of last year when the UBS Group AG chairman warned of a dangerous bubble in private credit.
Looking into 2024, we believe the market’s expectation of a global easing in liquidity could be an incremental tailwind to EM debt’s 2023 resilience—over and above the persistent spread premium we see in EM corporate debt.
In the first installment of this series, I pledged to unveil a retirement strategy with such merit that it warrants widespread adoption by the investment advisor community. Let's delve into the compelling case for this approach.
What caused the system’s funded status to deteriorate from 100% to 79.3% over the past 40 years? And more importantly, what actions will Congress take to reform the system?
Cash may still be king for the moment, but after more than $1 trillion flowed into money-market funds last year as short-term rates rose, investors are trying to figure out where it goes next.
More than just demographics, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute Stephen Dover and Investment Strategist Kim Catechis think education and government policy are of critical importance to economic growth.
Here’s how your clients’ birthdays trigger marketing moments that matter.
Defined Benefits
Why Singapore Is Bringing Blockchain Into Mutual Funds
Most people see “blockchain” and “funds” in the same sentence and immediately think of pools of money betting on cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ether. That isn’t how Singapore sees the utility of distributed ledgers.
Japanese Style Policies And The Future Of America
In a recent discussion with Adam Taggart via Thoughtful Money, we quickly touched on the similarities between the U.S. and Japanese monetary policies around the 11-minute mark. However, that discussion warrants a deeper dive. As we will review, Japan has much to tell us about the future of the U.S. economically.
Navigating the Investment Landscape: Insights and Warnings
In this edition, Harold Evensky explores the challenges facing sustainable and active funds, the implications of the new DOL Fiduciary Rule, and the value of long-term performance projections. With candid observations and critical analysis--read on to gain perspective on navigating the complex world of investing, the importance of risk management, and the role of fiduciary advisors in securing your financial future.
8 Ways DC Plans Are Likely to Change by 2030
Will 2030 DC plans perform better at preparing U.S. workers for retirement?
How the Treasury Is More Powerful Than the Fed
Decisions made by the Treasury get much less attention than those made by the Federal Reserve, but they can be even more consequential for interest rates — and the entire US economy.
Latin America's Long-Term Potential
Portfolio Manager Jeremy Sutch, CFA, and Chief Investment Officer Sean Taylor assess the issues besetting the region’s key markets—from domestic challenges to geopolitical headwinds—as well as their structural strengths, and whether prospects may brighten with the onset of a U.S. rate-cutting cycle.
Is Private Equity a Threat? We Need a Better Answer
Is private equity a problem? To what extent could this class of investment funds, which manages almost $9 trillion worldwide on behalf of everyone from wealthy individuals to California teachers, cause or propagate the next financial crisis?
De-Risking? Get Your Transition Management Plan in Place First
For plan sponsors, the trend toward de-risking often leads to a simplification of the equity manager lineup in the return-seeking portion of the portfolio.
Carry Trade Unwind: Is It Really Over?
Having been warned about the risk, investors now ask if the yen carry trade unwind is complete. Here's how far it might still go.
How Big Is the Yen Carry Trade, Really?
When two popular trades, such as buying US big tech stocks and selling the Japanese yen, are unraveling at the same time, investors naturally think they are somehow related.
Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off
On Monday morning, investors woke up to plunging stock markets as the “Yen Carry Trade” blew up. While media headlines suggested the sell-off was due to fears of a recession, slowing employment growth, or fears over Israel and Iran, such is not the case.
What Bankers Say You Should (and Shouldn’t) Do When Markets Crash
On days like Monday’s dramatic selloff, which capped a three-week loss of $6.4 trillion in global wealth, personal finance experts usually have the same advice for wary retail investors:
Bank of England Cuts Rates Despite Taylor Swift Inflation Effect
The members of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) are probably not intimately familiar with Taylor Swift’s back catalogue. If they were, Swift’s hit “Cruel Summer” may have been ringing in their ears when cutting rates today for the first time since March 2020.
Pension Funds Are Hooked on Private Equity, No Matter the Risks
Private equity has been in the news frequently in the last few weeks, and not in a good way.
Trump Likes the Idea of a Federal Bitcoin Reserve. Don’t Laugh
Which financial assets a central bank should buy and sell is hardly a novel question. Historically, the US Federal Reserve has focused on shorter-term Treasury securities, but quantitative easing had the Fed buying mortgage securities and quality commercial paper in significant quantities. More generally, central banks often hold gold and foreign currencies.
Private Equity Is Illiquid by Design. Why Worry About It?
A recent Financial Times opinion piece laid out how illiquidity makes private equity hazardous for investors. The Bank of England’s Nathanaël Benjamin warns private equity illiquidity is a systemic risk to the financial system.
Charting a Collective Path Forward on Retirement Income
Diverse stakeholders shared perspectives at AB’s Advancing Retirement Income symposium.
Europe Is Dealing With Deficits
The initiation of the excessive deficit procedure will hinder European unity.
Good Time to Check Your Clients’ Funding Buckets
With the S&P 500 index up almost 18 percent since the beginning of this year, now may be a good time to check how well your retired or near retired clients’ household assets match up with their expected spending liabilities.
Goldman Sachs Profit Surges as Traders Top Analysts’ Estimates
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s trading unit powered a surge in earnings in the second quarter.
As Tide Goes Out on Private Credit, Smaller Firms Look Exposed
The clubby world of private credit seems to be running out of space for the little guy.
Private Equity's Creative Wizardry Is Obscuring Danger Signs
As Pete Stavros addressed the private equity industry’s yearly shindig in Berlin last month, the KKR & Co. executive’s words were slightly less headline grabbing than those of Apollo Global Management’s co-president Scott Kleinman. But they were just as troubling.
Workplace to Wealth: Transforming Retirement Through Meaningful Action
A strategic alignment within the workplace is an opportunity for financial advisors, employers and retirement savers seeking financial planning advice. See Kevin Murphy’s views on emerging trends in workplace savings.
Beyond Demographics
The global population has surpassed 8 billion and according to the United Nations, it is projected to reach 9.7 billion in 2050.¹ However, the rate of population growth is slowing and is expected to continue to decline. Seems counterintuitive, no?
The Private Equity Bubble Is About to Deflate
Markets today pose a new existential question: Can there be a bubble in something if it has no price?
First World Problems
Those wishing to explore the gap between the nation’s apparent macroeconomic success and its microeconomic malaise would do well to consult Ruchir Sharma’s What Went Wrong with Capitalism.
Monthly Global Economic Report
The expert and you are in a car and the expert is driving. After awhile, you notice that the expert is driving the car by looking through the rearview mirror. Concerned you ask him why he’s not looking ahead as he drives.
FAQ: Passive Investing
In this piece, we attempt to answer a number of questions we have gotten from clients about the impacts that rising levels of passive investing may have had on the stock market.
Debtors and Creditors
The giant federal debt we’ve been talking about isn’t just borrowed money. It is also lent money. Loans are two-party transactions. One side receives temporary use of cash which it agrees to repay with interest. The other gives up the current use of that cash in exchange for receiving interest. Ideally, it works out for both… but not always.
Major Mining Firms Are Investing Billions In Zambia’s Copper Industry
This week I had the privilege of participating in a YPO (Young Presidents’ Organization) event held in Victoria Falls, Zimbabwe. One of the main topics of discussion was investment opportunities in neighboring Zambia, a country that, despite its challenges, is a rising star on the African continent, due largely to its copper exports.
Synchronize Your Pension Liabilities
U.S. corporate pension plan sponsors are required to measure their plan liabilities for a few important purposes.
Goldman Signals End of an Era in Private Equity With a Big Hire
A long era of easy profits in private equity is gone, and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is digging in deeper for the harder work ahead.
Planning Moves to Lessen the Sting of the 3.8% Surtax
A rising number of U.S. taxpayers are subject to an investment income surtax, introduced a decade ago in federal legislation. Here are some strategies that may help mitigate the impact of the tax.
At Blackstone's $339 Billion Property Arm, the Honeymoon Is Over
Nadeem Meghji was on honeymoon in late 2022 when the biggest storm to have rocked Blackstone Inc.’s property business hit its peak.
Election Risk Returns
A top risk for investors, elections may see a shift from centrist to more populist policy that could slow exports, raise inflation, and increase volatility in the global markets.
Replacing Taxes With Tariffs
Last week, Donald Trump proposed replacing the income tax with a tariff on imports. Washington DC let out a loud, and collective, scoff. The average American was intrigued. More on this in a few…but to be clear, the idea as it stands won’t work in our current system.
JPMorgan Risk Swap Ends Up at a Familiar Place: Rival Banks
When JPMorgan Chase & Co. arranged a series of trades to shift the risk of losses from $20 billion of its loans, some of those dangers wound up at a familiar place: rival banks.
Deficits, Debt and Markets: Myths vs. Realities
Historically, the level of U.S. debt has had no correlation with the performance of the stock or bond markets.
A Hospital Bankruptcy Offers a Cautionary Tale on Private Equity
As private equity investment in health care has surged to almost $1 trillion over the past decade — funding new technologies, clinical trials and more — a lack of transparency has made it hard to assess whether the industry is also putting patients at risk.
Big Investors Demand Hedge Funds Beat Cash Before Charging Fees
Institutional investors have grown tired of paying fees to hedge funds for what they see as “skill-less returns.”
Goldman Racks Up $21 Billion for Its Largest Private Credit Pool
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has put together $21 billion for private credit wagers, its biggest war chest yet for Wall Street’s buzziest asset class.
AI Takes Center Stage In Vegas As Nvidia Soars To New Heights
I’m fresh off the plane from Las Vegas—and no, I wasn’t hitting the slots, though the city’s Harry Reid International Airport sure hit the jackpot with a record-breaking 57.6 million passengers last year.
JPMorgan Hunts for Private Credit Firm to Grow in Hot Sector
JPMorgan Chase & Co. is on the hunt to buy a private credit firm to augment its $3.6 trillion asset management arm, as the biggest US bank makes more inroads into Wall Street’s buzziest sector.
Building Wealth With Real Estate: A Look Back
The goal that was so theoretical in my 20’s had become a reality in my 60’s. I had become financially independent by investing in real estate.
What a World Growing Older Fast Means for Investing
Idanna Appio spent 15 years at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York analysing the history of sovereign debt crises. Now, as a fund manager at the $138 billion First Eagle Investments, she’s reached a conclusion: US Treasury bonds are too risky to hold.
Where Do Shadow Banks Get Their Money? Your Deposits
Shadow banking is back. A constellation of less-regulated intermediaries — from insurers to private investment funds — is increasingly taking on the traditional business of banks, making trillions of dollars in risky loans and occupying a central role in the economy.
Shedding Light on Private Credit
Will the rapid growth of private credit impair financial stability?
How Should DC Plans Deliver Lifetime Income to Typical Participants?
Steady income and access to remaining assets are key considerations for DC plan sponsors.
The Unsurprising Failure of the Largest Hedge Fund in the World
High fees are the main reason the Bridgewater fund and the other hedge funds using a risk-parity strategy performed so badly. Their underperformance relative to the 60/40 index portfolio amounted to about three percent annually. Of that three percent about two percent went to fees and other compensation.
Millennium, Point72 and Elliott Are Among Bitcoin ETF Buyers
When it comes to Bitcoin ETFs, it’s not just the retail trading crowd that’s taking the plunge. It’s now clear that hedge funds, pension funds and banks have also sprinkled capital into the exchange-traded funds after their blockbuster debut that was more than a decade in the making.
More Retirees Crossing State Lines – Here’s Where They’re Going
More than 338,000 Americans relocated for retirement last year – a 44% increase from 2022 – and about a quarter of those retirees moved to a different state.
Wall Street’s E-Trading Boom Adds New Fuel to Private-Debt Mania
The rise of electronic trading and growing popularity of portfolio trading has had an unintended consequence for the US corporate bond market: making private credit even more attractive.
Private Equity’s $3 Trillion Burden Sparks Hunt for Exit Options
As the market for initial public offerings bounces back after two lifeless years, investors who’ve been impatiently waiting for their payoff are finally getting some returns.
No, Jerome Powell Isn’t Playing Politics
Investors’ hopes for rate cuts this year have faded. The past quarter’s economic data showed that the inflation battle is not over; whether the Fed eases now depends on the data, a point Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve have repeated ad nauseam.
High-Tech Trading Firms Race to Grab Bond Market Turf
They subdued stocks, claimed a chunk of foreign exchange and muscled into the commodity market. Now high-tech trading firms like Citadel Securities LLC and Jane Street are pushing deeper than ever into fixed income.
How the NFL Draft Is Like Building an Investment Portfolio: The Process of Choosing Winners
Much like the NFL draft, portfolio managers undergo rigorous evaluations. Their track record, investment process, and stock selection process are considered. Additionally, qualitative assessments, including manager interviews and onsite visits, offer insights into their character and decision-making prowess.
Why UK Giants Should Think Twice Before Ditching London Listing
The sorry state of Britain's equity markets has been well-documented. Across all UK indexes there have been just three initial public offerings so far this year after over 100 de-listings in 2023. The noise that this is only the beginning is getting louder.
How to Give Retirees the Freedom to Spend
Most clients have no idea what retirement failure means to them and how a given failure rate should influence their planning. My guests today will present a planning framework that improves existing models by dynamically adjusting for market performance and longevity.
When saving for retirement it’s common for advisors to evaluate progress toward a savings goal and recommend course corrections to stay on track. Making course corrections after retirement means that the retiree must either spend less if investment returns are low or be able to spend more if markets rise.
Clients need to understand how investment and longevity risk will affect their lifestyle as they make these adjustments to avoid running out of savings. The best way to understand how these risks might affect their lifestyle is through a visualization of spending paths. Visualizations are a powerful and accurate way to understand how spending more early in retirement, taking greater investment risk, and using an annuity change the course of possible lifestyle paths.
Global Corporate Bonds New Opportunities
Why should anyone be allocating to investment-grade corporate bonds right now?
Ray Dalio’s Famous Trade Is Sputtering, Investors Bailing
It was an irresistible pitch. Give us your money, executives at Ray Dalio’s Bridgewater Associates and other hedge funds said, and we’ll funnel it into a money-minting, sure-thing strategy for the long haul.
Don’t Exit Stocks as If You’re a Pension Fund
Rising interest rates and the fear of giving back stock market gains are pushing pension fund managers to move capital from stocks to bonds.
The Road Not Taken
I have indicted the securities industry for spreading “a web of deceptions that have become conventional wisdom.” But a small part of the industry does provide products and services that are beneficial and necessary. That is the subject of this article.
Planning Future Spending Changes
Ongoing planning in retirement involves periodically assessing whether spending may be increased or must be decreased to remain on track.
Elections Matter
Mistakes in both geopolitical and fiscal policies compound over time, often leading to more mistakes.
Decade of Distinction: Celebrating 10 Years of Regulatory Standards in Financial Planning
As we mark the tenth anniversary of the Statement on Standards in Personal Financial Planning Services, it's clear that this milestone was more than a mere regulatory update — it was a foundational moment for the financial planning profession.
A Surplus of Opportunity: Tapping the Insurance Market
Success in the insurance channel requires an understanding of the distinctive investment needs and regulatory considerations it faces.
Dimon Likens AI’s Transformational Potential to the Steam Engine
JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon said artificial intelligence may be the biggest issue his bank is grappling with, likened its potential impact to that of the steam engine and said the technology could “augment virtually every job.”
Wall Street Just Doesn’t Get Retirement
As a retirement economist — not to be confused with a retired economist, which are rare — I often find myself talking to Wall Street types who happen to be in charge of a lot of other people’s money.
A Look Back at the Negative Interest Rate Era
Negative interest rates have more cons than clear pros.
Women Live Longer. Can They Afford It?
After a career in design that included restoring furniture and textiles for nine presidents, Iris Apfel became a fashion icon in her 80s. This isn’t a commentary on how to live out one’s retired years (some may air-quote that term). It’s to drive home the point that she lived – really lived – to 102.
Pension Funds to Buy More Infrastructure on Energy Transition
Pension funds around the world are significantly underinvested in infrastructure and will help drive growth as they tip more capital into assets that will be part of the global energy transition, according to a report by IFM Investors.
Retirement Crisis Faces Government And Corporate Pensions
It is long past the time that we face the fact that “Social Security” is facing a retirement crisis. In June 2022, we touched on this issue, discussing the stark realities confronting Social Security.
Raising the Retirement Age Won’t Help Anyone
It’s budget season in Washington, which means the politicians are delivering their annual warnings about the looming Social Security crisis.
What Higher for Longer Means for Investors
The Fed seems headed for a "higher for longer" interest rate policy. My guest and I will explore the implications of fiscal and monetary policy on the shape of the yield curve, personal balance sheets, pension plans, private credit, and opportunities for public companies. We will also discuss the implications for the upcoming election.
Generational Tension
Is there a point where support crosses a line and becomes a form of dependency for adult children while putting the financial security of the parent at risk?
Three Issues Corporate Plan Sponsors Should Be Aware of in 2024
With interest rates at their highest levels in over a decade, now is a good time for most plan sponsors to de-risk their liabilities via a lump sum window.
Municipals Deliver Strength Ahead of Seasonal Shift
Municipals posted positive performance and outperformed comparable Treasuries in February. We expect supply-and-demand dynamics to turn less supportive in the coming months. After patience to start the year, we would view any material backup as an opportunity to buy.
JPMorgan Asset Management Says China Remains ‘Irreplaceable’
JPMorgan Chase & Co. will continue hiring in China for its asset management business as it targets growth in the world’s second-largest economy.
$20 Billion Club: Higher Rates Means…Higher Return Assumptions?
The average expected return on asset (EROA) assumption for the largest U.S.-listed pension plan sponsors increased to 6.70% in 2023—the first time a year-over-year increase has been observed in 19 years of records.
Public Pensions Should Be Safe, Not Levered Up
America’s public pension funds have gotten themselves into a bind. They’re responsible for paying trillions of dollars in future retirement benefits to teachers, firefighters, police, and other state and local employees, but their assets fall far short of what’s needed to fulfill those promises.
Who Benefits From Guaranteed Lifetime Income - And How?
22%. That is the average increase in potential retirement spending that individual savers in defined contribution plans can achieve when they embed guaranteed retirement income solutions into a target date fund. For lower-income workers, it’s a 25% increase.
Corporate Culture and America’s Unraveling
This lessening of government involvement, and the change in the corporate culture, together with a new or reinterpreted economic philosophy all combined to produce an unraveling of the United States that had for some time been incredibly materially productive for the benefit of all.
Wall Street Turbocharges Bitcoin's Wild Rally and Rakes In Cash
To Jamie Dimon, it's no better than a “pet rock.” To the late Charlie Munger, longtime lieutenant to Warren Buffett, it's “massively stupid.” And to US Senator Elizabeth Warren, it's a great tool if you’re a terrorist, drug dealer or fraudster.
Flawed Valuations Threaten $1.7 Trillion Private Credit Boom
Colm Kelleher whipped up a storm at the end of last year when the UBS Group AG chairman warned of a dangerous bubble in private credit.
Rethinking the EM Corporate Bond Asset Class: Insights for Insurers
Looking into 2024, we believe the market’s expectation of a global easing in liquidity could be an incremental tailwind to EM debt’s 2023 resilience—over and above the persistent spread premium we see in EM corporate debt.
An RIA-Friendly Life Insurance Strategy for Retirement Security (Part Two)
In the first installment of this series, I pledged to unveil a retirement strategy with such merit that it warrants widespread adoption by the investment advisor community. Let's delve into the compelling case for this approach.
Social Security’s Deterioration and Implications for Future Reform
What caused the system’s funded status to deteriorate from 100% to 79.3% over the past 40 years? And more importantly, what actions will Congress take to reform the system?
Wave of Cash Seen Washing Into Credit as Investors Seek Duration
Cash may still be king for the moment, but after more than $1 trillion flowed into money-market funds last year as short-term rates rose, investors are trying to figure out where it goes next.
Demographics Are Not Destiny
More than just demographics, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute Stephen Dover and Investment Strategist Kim Catechis think education and government policy are of critical importance to economic growth.
Want a Crystal Ball for Your Marketing?
Here’s how your clients’ birthdays trigger marketing moments that matter.